Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
ActiveVolume
$258K
Txns
6,913
Traders
625
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$34,689
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$258K
Txns
6,913
Traders
625
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$34,689
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | boom13 | Yes / 11.0¢ | -5.00 | $0.55 | |
| 2h | ANDRESIN | Yes / 11.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.55 | |
| 8h | puposalbani | Yes / 11.0¢ | -0.41 | $0.05 | |
| 8h | ANDRESIN | Yes / 11.0¢ | +0.41 | $0.05 | |
| 8h | ANDRESIN | Yes / 11.0¢ | +16.00 | $1.76 | |
| 8h | puposalbani | Yes / 11.0¢ | -16.00 | $1.76 | |
| 17h | Ninjafx | No / 88.3¢ | +113.25 | $100 | |
| 17h | ANDRESIN | Yes / 11.0¢ | +34.39 | $3.78 | |
| 17h | ANDRESIN | Yes / 12.0¢ | +78.86 | $9.46 | |
| 18h | Igorrrr | No / 88.0¢ | +1.14 | $1 | |
| 18h | ANDRESIN | Yes / 12.0¢ | +1.14 | $0.14 | |
| 23h | DrNee | No / 88.0¢ | +20.00 | $17.6 | |
| 23h | ANDRESIN | Yes / 12.0¢ | +20.00 | $2.4 | |
| 1d | Bromley86 | No / 88.0¢ | +200.00 | $176 | |
| 1d | DrNee | No / 88.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.4 | |
| 1d | tiger555 | Yes / 12.0¢ | -285.71 | $34.3 | |
| 1d | purebaby | Yes / 12.0¢ | -6.75 | $0.81 | |
| 1d | diaoscoin | No / 87.8¢ | -1,160.00 | $1.02K | |
| 1d | Scoofy-Bubik | No / 88.0¢ | +422.91 | $372 | |
| 1d | tiger555 | Yes / 13.0¢ | -228.62 | $29.7 | |
| 1d | purebaby | Yes / 12.0¢ | -11.01 | $1.32 | |
| 1d | kris86 | No / 89.0¢ | +1.12 | $1 | |
| 1d | ANDRESIN | Yes / 11.0¢ | +1.12 | $0.12 | |
| 1d | ANDRESIN | Yes / 11.0¢ | +1.12 | $0.12 | |
| 1d | 0xdd8493EdeC17070f15d618E0854D8065E1F7Cc2E-1772602834257 | No / 89.0¢ | +1.12 | $1 |
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