| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? Yes 132.00 net shares | 15.0¢ / 15.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | May 3, 2026 1:58 PM | |
 May 8 Yes 195.20 net shares | 14.3¢ / 13.0¢ | -$1.31 (-9.3%) | May 3, 2026 1:53 PM | |
 May 31 No 16.21 net shares | 97.7¢ / 97.3¢ | -$0.03 (-0.4%) | May 3, 2026 1:00 PM | |
 May 8 No 16.60 net shares | 95.4¢ / 95.8¢ | $0.03 (0.4%) | May 3, 2026 12:17 PM | |
May 15 No 44.30 net shares | 89.4¢ / 88.0¢ | -$0.31 (-1.6%) | May 3, 2026 9:51 AM | |
May 31 No 28.95 net shares | 68.4¢ / 72.0¢ | $0.52 (5.3%) | May 3, 2026 12:26 AM | |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? Yes 53.88 net shares | 12.5¢ / 9.0¢ | -$0.94 (-27.9%) | May 3, 2026 12:11 AM | |
 May 31 No 13.46 net shares | 58.8¢ / 63.0¢ | $0.28 (7.1%) | May 2, 2026 11:14 PM | |
June 30 No 41.47 net shares | 33.4¢ / 34.0¢ | $0.14 (1.7%) | May 2, 2026 11:00 PM | |
 Nicolás Maduro Yes 6.06 net shares | 65.3¢ / 63.3¢ | -$0.06 (-3.1%) | May 2, 2026 10:12 PM | |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No 7.76 net shares | 51.0¢ / 48.0¢ | -$0.12 (-5.9%) | May 2, 2026 9:28 PM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No 12.25 net shares | 96.9¢ / 97.2¢ | $0.02 (0.3%) | Apr 18, 2026 4:36 PM | |
 No change Yes -18.28 net shares | 97.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (2.7%) | Apr 18, 2026 1:51 PM | |
 May 31 No 0.00 net shares | 23.0¢ / 6.0¢ | -$0 (-73.9%) | Apr 12, 2026 5:05 PM | |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No 9.26 net shares | 96.2¢ / 98.6¢ | $0.22 (2.5%) | Apr 8, 2026 9:09 PM | |
 Arsenal Yes 35.60 net shares | 89.0¢ / 62.0¢ | -$0 (-30.3%) | Apr 5, 2026 1:14 AM | |
 Man City Yes 110.18 net shares | 12.1¢ / 38.0¢ | $0 (214.2%) | Apr 4, 2026 9:39 PM | |
 Tim Walz Yes 0.00 net shares | 0.8¢ / 0.6¢ | -$0 (-26.4%) | Mar 27, 2026 11:59 PM | |
 Luxembourg Yes 0.01 net shares | 0.6¢ / 0.5¢ | -$0 (-16.7%) | Mar 27, 2026 11:59 PM | |
 June 30, 2026 No 0.01 net shares | 96.8¢ / 97.5¢ | $0 (0.7%) | Mar 27, 2026 11:59 PM | |
 Other No 0.01 net shares | 93.3¢ / 98.8¢ | $0 (5.9%) | Mar 27, 2026 11:59 PM | |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No 0.01 net shares | 76.0¢ / 80.5¢ | $0 (5.9%) | Mar 27, 2026 11:59 PM | |
 ↓ 2.5% No 0.00 net shares | 82.0¢ / 90.0¢ | $0 (9.8%) | Mar 27, 2026 11:59 PM | |
 10 (250 bps) Yes 0.01 net shares | 0.4¢ / 0.3¢ | -$0 (-20.0%) | Mar 27, 2026 11:59 PM | |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No 0.00 net shares | 87.0¢ / 84.0¢ | -$0 (-3.4%) | Mar 27, 2026 11:59 PM |
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