| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? YesPolitics 17.85 shares | 21.0¢ / 8.1¢ | -$3.67 (-38.4%) | $9.56 · 2 | $4.44 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:44 PM | |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 15? NoPolitics 9.80 shares | 50.0¢ / 72.0¢ | $2.16 (44.0%) | $4.9 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:44 PM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? YesPolitics 9.25 shares | 53.0¢ / 43.0¢ | -$0.93 (-18.9%) | $4.9 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:44 PM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? YesPolitics 10.86 shares | 29.7¢ / 20.0¢ | -$0.32 (-3.4%) | $9.67 · 2 | $7.17 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:44 PM | |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29? YesPolitics 5.43 shares | 91.0¢ / 99.6¢ | $0.47 (9.4%) | $4.94 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:43 PM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? NoPolitics 5.55 shares | 77.4¢ / 75.0¢ | -$1.51 (-1.1%) | $143 · 34 | $137 · 39 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:43 PM | |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? NoPolitics 5.37 shares | 92.0¢ / 98.2¢ | $0.33 (6.7%) | $4.94 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:42 PM | |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? YesPolitics 11.36 shares | 43.0¢ / 62.0¢ | $2.16 (44.2%) | $4.88 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:41 PM | |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026… YesPolitics 11.62 shares | 43.2¢ / 50.5¢ | $0.85 (16.8%) | $4.88 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:38 PM | |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31? NoPolitics 7.81 shares | 63.0¢ / 91.0¢ | $2.19 (44.4%) | $4.92 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:36 PM | |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? NoFinance 11.48 shares | 86.6¢ / 92.0¢ | $0.62 (6.2%) | $9.87 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:36 PM | |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? NoFinance 5.00 shares | 46.0¢ / 10.9¢ | -$1.76 (-76.3%) | $2.24 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:36 PM | |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin… YesPolitics 12.06 shares | 84.3¢ / 99.9¢ | $0.15 (0.4%) | $42.9 · 9 | $31.6 · 6 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:35 PM | |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? NoPolitics 5.81 shares | 85.0¢ / 94.0¢ | $0.52 (10.6%) | $4.94 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:35 PM | |
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? NoPolitics 11.11 shares | 44.0¢ / 61.0¢ | $1.89 (38.6%) | $4.89 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:34 PM | |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? YesPolitics 5.00 shares | 35.8¢ / 23.2¢ | -$0.63 (-35.3%) | $1.79 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:34 PM | |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? YesPolitics 25.00 shares | 19.0¢ / 4.0¢ | -$3.75 (-78.9%) | $4.75 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:30 PM | |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15? NoPolitics 7.93 shares | 62.0¢ / 75.0¢ | $1.03 (21.0%) | $4.92 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:30 PM | |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? NoFinance 4.97 shares | 88.5¢ / 38.8¢ | -$2.47 (-56.2%) | $4.37 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:30 PM | |
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? NoPolitics 5.32 shares | 92.0¢ / 96.4¢ | $0.23 (4.8%) | $4.89 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:29 PM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? YesPolitics 7.46 shares | 66.0¢ / 51.0¢ | -$1.12 (-22.7%) | $4.92 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:27 PM | |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? NoFinance 9.20 shares | 53.4¢ / 91.6¢ | $3.51 (71.5%) | $4.82 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:23 PM | |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? NoPolitics 5.31 shares | 91.0¢ / 91.0¢ | -$0.47 (-0.8%) | $57.9 · 12 | $52.6 · 13 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:20 PM | |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? NoPolitics 5.00 shares | 66.0¢ / 87.0¢ | $1.05 (31.8%) | $3.3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:17 PM | |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? YesPolitics 5.00 shares | 62.0¢ / 28.2¢ | -$1.69 (-54.6%) | $3.1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:17 PM |
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