
Volume
$579K
Txns
8,148
Traders
951
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran officially announces a successor to Ali Khamenei as Supreme Leader by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of if/when the announced replacement actually becomes the next Supreme Leader, or otherwise assumes the highest government position of Iran. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 65%$0volume
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Yes 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 57%$0volume
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | SmallFishInWhaleStomach | Yes / 99.9¢ | +461.53 | $461 | |
| 4mo | Benlazar | Yes / 99.9¢ | -461.53 | $461 | |
| 4mo | SmallFishInWhaleStomach | Yes / 99.9¢ | +222.65 | $222 | |
| 4mo | 0x66c6C6E421882fA01e7ee6487E5E58eAd10d19A3-1772318503538 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -222.65 | $222 | |
| 4mo | 0x22Ca410f9d4730c3Ee2FeAd439a4ec1450251495-1768487085128 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 4mo | WEwinbig2007 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -15.18 | $15.2 | |
| 4mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +15.18 | $15.2 | |
| 4mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 4mo | Flow1312 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | 0x08bF4E4E227518881f25d23c68DE832Cc04c3793-1771092375312 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -8.33 | $8.32 | |
| 4mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +8.33 | $8.32 | |
| 4mo | MartinaCandombe | No / 0.1¢ | -53.55 | $0.05 | |
| 4mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,946.45 | $1.94K | |
| 4mo | Raypiaso002 | No / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 4mo | MartinaCandombe | No / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | BigStein1953 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 4mo | SMYH | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | anoin123 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +835.06 | $834 | |
| 4mo | MartinaCandombe | No / 0.1¢ | -64.94 | $0.06 | |
| 4mo | ma99 | No / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | theshahgang | Yes / 99.9¢ | -6.06 | $6.05 | |
| 4mo | anoin123 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +6.06 | $6.05 | |
| 4mo | anoin123 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +8.51 | $8.5 | |
| 4mo | jayjay66 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -8.51 | $8.5 |
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