Will the US add more than 125k jobs in January?
ResolvedVolume
$119K
Txns
1,969
Traders
280
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 6, 2026
Volume
$119K
Txns
1,969
Traders
280
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 6, 2026
This market will resolve according to the nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for January 2026, scheduled to be released on February 6, 2026, 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for December is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$21.9Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 82%$20.8Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 51%$4.68Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11.2Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.71Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 100%$7.4Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +117.10 | $117 | |
| 4mo | SawedOff | Yes / 99.9¢ | -117.10 | $117 | |
| 4mo | 0x4947aa66b043C4012252d007b6932366E2Ba5fc0-1762115845697 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 4mo | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 4mo | 0xb8ee...e2c3b8 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -3.01 | $3.01 | |
| 4mo | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3.01 | $3.01 | |
| 4mo | 0xf7a8...6e68c0 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -4.02 | $4.02 | |
| 4mo | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4.02 | $4.02 | |
| 4mo | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 4mo | F1RSTQC | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 4mo | Tasofire | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | 0xE63487e8582daf5993411ECcaBEF307EEEAa94b6-1770815896379 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 4mo | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 4mo | 0x5789b08DadF93dB038889DA78208Fb7fF8EdA66a-1770815004930 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,138.95 | $1.14K | |
| 4mo | Askvaldo | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,138.95 | $1.14K | |
| 4mo | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 4mo | 0x56Bf31869138142C2Bce2fFD2f0C3Bf38F623F74-1769017827477 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | XAVQX | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 4mo | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 4mo | barenverge | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 4mo | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K |
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