| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? YesPolitics 2.07 shares | 52.5¢ / 41.0¢ | -$0.24 (-21.5%) | $1.1 · 1 | $0.03 · 2 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 5:24 AM | |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? NoPolitics 1.96 shares | 56.0¢ / 81.0¢ | $0.49 (44.6%) | $1.1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 3:45 AM | |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? YesPolitics 2.04 shares | 54.5¢ / 26.0¢ | -$0.58 (-52.3%) | $1.1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 2:56 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? NoPolitics 2.56 shares | 43.4¢ / 99.9¢ | $1.44 (130.0%) | $1.1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 2:55 AM | |
 Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 1.45 shares | 76.8¢ / 81.3¢ | $0.07 (5.9%) | $1.1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:26 PM | |
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 0.99 shares | 92.1¢ / 93.0¢ | $0.01 (0.9%) | $1.1 · 1 | $0.2 · 5 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:15 AM | |
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 1.29 shares | 85.8¢ / 81.0¢ | -$0.06 (-5.6%) | $1.1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 27, 2026 2:01 PM | |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? YesSportsRedeemable 0.50 shares | 96.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.01 (0.9%) | $1.1 · 1 | $0.63 · 6 | $0 | Jul 24, 2026 12:35 AM | |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? YesPoliticsRedeemable 0.90 shares | 61.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.61 (54.4%) | $1.1 · 1 | $0.82 · 5 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:39 AM | |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31? NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.11 shares | 64.2¢ / 100.0¢ | -$0.05 (-4.2%) | $1.1 · 1 | $0.97 · 1 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 12:43 PM | |
 Iran leadership change by May 31? NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.39 shares | 87.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.06 (5.7%) | $1.1 · 1 | $0.77 · 8 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 7:23 AM | |
 Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.45 shares | 95.9¢ / 100.0¢ | -$0.04 (-3.5%) | $1.1 · 1 | $0.61 · 4 | $0 | May 1, 2026 6:41 AM |
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