
Volume
$179K
Txns
3,421
Traders
453
Fees
$58
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Jun 15, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$8.22Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
No 83%$3.44Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 94%$15Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 100%$3.04Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.46Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 85%$21.1Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23s | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA9604 | No / 91.0¢ | +142.12 | $129 | |
| 23s | trader-ed24675f | No / 91.0¢ | -142.12 | $129 | |
| 24s | dsoisoij | Yes / 8.0¢ | -25.00 | $2 | |
| 24s | YoungDaivid | No / 91.0¢ | +7.88 | $7.17 | |
| 24s | trader-ed24675f | No / 91.8¢ | -32.88 | $30.2 | |
| 41s | dsoisoij | Yes / 8.0¢ | -25.00 | $2 | |
| 41s | cristinathearena | Yes / 8.0¢ | -11.55 | $0.92 | |
| 41s | uaishdoiwajdipxw | No / 92.0¢ | -44.65 | $41.1 | |
| 41s | YoungDaivid | No / 91.0¢ | +0.30 | $0.27 | |
| 41s | cristinathearena | Yes / 8.0¢ | -7.80 | $0.62 | |
| 1m | taerv534 | Yes / 4.0¢ | +64.00 | $2.56 | |
| 1m | NOIZYUV | No / 98.0¢ | -400.00 | $392 | |
| 1m | HerrieDavis | Yes / 3.0¢ | +117.14 | $3.51 | |
| 1m | cristinathearena | Yes / 3.0¢ | +7.80 | $0.23 | |
| 1m | cristinathearena | Yes / 3.0¢ | +5.96 | $0.18 | |
| 1m | 0x652bFf901f401F | Yes / 4.0¢ | +300.00 | $12 | |
| 1m | oculus1 | Yes / 4.3¢ | -1,621.01 | $69 | |
| 1m | HerrieDavis | Yes / 2.0¢ | +774.82 | $15.5 | |
| 1m | 0x21322b33abD6850aC01b7EDE42bigking011 | Yes / 2.0¢ | +39.34 | $0.79 | |
| 1m | OriginalSmallYahu | No / 97.0¢ | -117.92 | $114 | |
| 1m | Rakkefanten | No / 95.0¢ | -468.21 | $445 | |
| 1m | dsoisoij | Yes / 6.0¢ | +50.00 | $3 | |
| 1m | GoldenZ21 | Yes / 2.3¢ | -2,716.77 | $62.7 | |
| 1m | HerrieDavis | Yes / 4.0¢ | +212.67 | $8.51 | |
| 1m | 0x0820-3 | No / 94.0¢ | -50.00 | $47 |
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