
Volume
$411K
Txns
6,587
Traders
1,006
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cuba’s current leader, Miguel Díaz-Canel, is removed from power for any length of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, Díaz-Canel will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise ceases to hold (or is publicly reported to be unable to perform the duties of) the office of First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba, which is widely regarded as Cuba’s top political post, within this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | hspje89 | No / 99.9¢ | -6.73 | $6.72 | |
| 1mo | RIPstein | No / 99.9¢ | +6.73 | $6.72 | |
| 1mo | Marcisn | No / 99.9¢ | -22.96 | $22.9 | |
| 1mo | RIPstein | No / 99.9¢ | +22.96 | $22.9 | |
| 1mo | notedigo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,261.56 | $1.26 | |
| 1mo | x26 | No / 99.9¢ | +178.44 | $178 | |
| 1mo | RIPstein | No / 99.9¢ | +1,083.12 | $1.08K | |
| 1mo | x26 | No / 99.9¢ | +21.56 | $21.5 | |
| 1mo | Jufsin | No / 99.9¢ | -21.56 | $21.5 | |
| 1mo | Ox95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | No / 99.9¢ | +22.30 | $22.3 | |
| 1mo | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | -22.30 | $22.3 | |
| 1mo | 0x3f6d...22a962 | No / 99.8¢ | -0.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | beenraping | No / 99.8¢ | +0.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | -6.25 | $6.24 | |
| 1mo | bigricke | No / 99.9¢ | +6.25 | $6.24 | |
| 1mo | beenraping | No / 99.8¢ | +22.29 | $22.2 | |
| 1mo | Bernce | No / 99.8¢ | -22.29 | $22.2 | |
| 1mo | beenraping | No / 99.8¢ | +6.25 | $6.24 | |
| 1mo | 0x3f6d...22a962 | No / 99.8¢ | -6.25 | $6.24 | |
| 1mo | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | -3,051.25 | $3.05K | |
| 1mo | TimeDecay | No / 99.9¢ | -237.00 | $237 | |
| 1mo | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | -58.68 | $58.6 | |
| 1mo | 0xAe027a271B8C697f94eE781d6920a51bD9e920c4-1770236916251 | No / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1mo | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 |
1–25
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
No 82%$757Kvolume
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
No 53%$86.5Kvolume
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
No 77%$1.86Mvolume
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
No 81%$241Kvolume
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
No 64%$1.08Mvolume
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Yes 60%$195Kvolume