Jiraiya.will.be.fine -$2.83K PnL

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C or higher on January 29? NoWeatherRedeemable 0.08 shares	90.9¢ / 100.0¢	$11 (9.7%)	$112 · 2	$123 · 2	$0	Jan 30, 2026 1:10 AM
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C or below on January… YesWeatherRedeemable 0.07 shares	92.3¢ / 100.0¢	-$0.93 (-0.3%)	$344 · 3	$343 · 16	$0	Jan 22, 2026 6:26 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Lighter Airdrop on December 31? WonYesCrypto	5.7¢ / 0.0¢	$194 (31.0%)	$625 · 73	$819 · 22	$0	Dec 30, 2025 10:27 AM
Will Donald Trump say "two weeks" during Ukraine President events on Dec… WonYesMentions	33.0¢ / 100.0¢	$95.6 (202.7%)	$47.1 · 1	$143 · 1	$0	Dec 29, 2025 1:19 AM
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide… WonYesCulture	81.0¢ / 100.0¢	$68.2 (21.9%)	$312 · 2	$381 · 2	$0	Jan 12, 2026 10:15 AM
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Wi… WonHanwha Life Esports ChallengersSports	47.5¢ / 100.0¢	$65.4 (109.1%)	$60 · 2	$125 · 1	$0	Jan 15, 2026 8:42 AM
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 14? WonDownFinance	42.0¢ / 100.0¢	$61.5 (131.0%)	$46.9 · 1	$108 · 2	$0	Jan 14, 2026 11:33 PM
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during Ukraine President events o… WonYesMentions	57.6¢ / 100.0¢	$59.9 (25.0%)	$240 · 1	$300 · 14	$0	Dec 29, 2025 12:40 AM
Will the US strike Syria next? WonYesPolitics	80.2¢ / 100.0¢	$53.6 (20.8%)	$258 · 1	$311 · 2	$0	Jan 10, 2026 11:52 PM
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale? WonYesCrypto	71.0¢ / 100.0¢	$47.9 (23.9%)	$200 · 2	$248 · 1	$0	Jan 10, 2026 6:30 PM
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance WonArgentinaSports	47.7¢ / 100.0¢	$47.4 (109.7%)	$42.1 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 15, 2026 9:18 PM
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026? WonYesPolitics	2.6¢ / 0.0¢	$46.4 (77.7%)	$59.8 · 5	$106 · 4	$0	Jan 13, 2026 7:03 AM
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics	42.0¢ / 0.0¢	$44.4 (28.6%)	$155 · 1	$200 · 5	$0	Feb 1, 2026 8:47 AM
Bills vs. Broncos WonBroncosSports	53.1¢ / 100.0¢	$41.4 (10.0%)	$414 · 3	$456 · 6	$0	Jan 18, 2026 3:41 AM
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? WonYesPolitics	1.6¢ / 0.0¢	$37.2 (56.2%)	$66.1 · 41	$103 · 2	$0	Mar 4, 2026 8:13 PM
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Senshi Esports Club (BO1) WonSenshi Esports ClubSports	48.0¢ / 100.0¢	$36 (107.3%)	$33.6 · 1	$69.7 · 1	$0	Jan 15, 2026 11:33 PM
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics	42.0¢ / 0.0¢	$35 (23.8%)	$147 · 1	$182 · 1	$0	Feb 1, 2026 7:31 AM
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? WonYesPolitics	15.8¢ / 18.0¢	$32.7 (20.5%)	$160 · 1	$192 · 5	$0	Jan 8, 2026 1:58 AM
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday? WonNoPolitics	60.0¢ / 100.0¢	$29.1 (58.1%)	$50.1 · 1	$79.2 · 1	$0	Jan 17, 2026 9:34 AM
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on Janu… WonNoWeather	80.0¢ / 100.0¢	$23.7 (23.8%)	$99.9 · 1	$124 · 1	$0	Jan 23, 2026 9:25 AM
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale? WonNoCrypto	56.0¢ / 100.0¢	$22 (5.2%)	$420 · 1	$442 · 1	$0	Jan 10, 2026 6:07 PM
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on February 1? WonNoWeather	86.0¢ / 100.0¢	$21.5 (16.1%)	$133 · 1	$155 · 1	$0	Feb 2, 2026 6:55 AM
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? WonYesPolitics	0.9¢ / 2.0¢	$19.5 (144.4%)	$13.5 · 1	$33 · 1	$0	Jul 29, 2026 3:58 PM
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5? WonYesPolitics	86.6¢ / 100.0¢	$19.5 (10.7%)	$182 · 1	$201 · 1	$0	Jan 4, 2026 3:41 AM
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on Janu… WonNoWeather	88.4¢ / 100.0¢	$19.4 (13.0%)	$149 · 1	$168 · 2	$0	Jan 22, 2026 3:02 AM
Will Trump post "Sleepy Joe" this week on Truth Social? WonYesMentions	77.4¢ / 100.0¢	$19.3 (27.9%)	$69.2 · 1	$88.5 · 1	$0	Apr 16, 2026 11:36 PM
Over $45M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? WonNoCrypto	54.7¢ / 100.0¢	$18.9 (52.4%)	$35 · 1	$55.1 · 1	$0	Jul 4, 2026 7:20 PM

					Merge
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C or higher on January 29? NoWeatherRedeemable 0.08 shares	90.9¢ / 100.0¢	$11 (9.7%)	$112 · 2	$123 · 2	$0	Jan 30, 2026 1:10 AM
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C or below on January… YesWeatherRedeemable 0.07 shares	92.3¢ / 100.0¢	-$0.93 (-0.3%)	$344 · 3	$343 · 16	$0	Jan 22, 2026 6:26 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Lighter Airdrop on December 31? WonYesCrypto	5.7¢ / 0.0¢	$194 (31.0%)	$625 · 73	$819 · 22	$0	Dec 30, 2025 10:27 AM
Will Donald Trump say "two weeks" during Ukraine President events on Dec… WonYesMentions	33.0¢ / 100.0¢	$95.6 (202.7%)	$47.1 · 1	$143 · 1	$0	Dec 29, 2025 1:19 AM
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide… WonYesCulture	81.0¢ / 100.0¢	$68.2 (21.9%)	$312 · 2	$381 · 2	$0	Jan 12, 2026 10:15 AM
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Wi… WonHanwha Life Esports ChallengersSports	47.5¢ / 100.0¢	$65.4 (109.1%)	$60 · 2	$125 · 1	$0	Jan 15, 2026 8:42 AM
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 14? WonDownFinance	42.0¢ / 100.0¢	$61.5 (131.0%)	$46.9 · 1	$108 · 2	$0	Jan 14, 2026 11:33 PM
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during Ukraine President events o… WonYesMentions	57.6¢ / 100.0¢	$59.9 (25.0%)	$240 · 1	$300 · 14	$0	Dec 29, 2025 12:40 AM
Will the US strike Syria next? WonYesPolitics	80.2¢ / 100.0¢	$53.6 (20.8%)	$258 · 1	$311 · 2	$0	Jan 10, 2026 11:52 PM
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale? WonYesCrypto	71.0¢ / 100.0¢	$47.9 (23.9%)	$200 · 2	$248 · 1	$0	Jan 10, 2026 6:30 PM
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance WonArgentinaSports	47.7¢ / 100.0¢	$47.4 (109.7%)	$42.1 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 15, 2026 9:18 PM
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026? WonYesPolitics	2.6¢ / 0.0¢	$46.4 (77.7%)	$59.8 · 5	$106 · 4	$0	Jan 13, 2026 7:03 AM
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics	42.0¢ / 0.0¢	$44.4 (28.6%)	$155 · 1	$200 · 5	$0	Feb 1, 2026 8:47 AM
Bills vs. Broncos WonBroncosSports	53.1¢ / 100.0¢	$41.4 (10.0%)	$414 · 3	$456 · 6	$0	Jan 18, 2026 3:41 AM
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? WonYesPolitics	1.6¢ / 0.0¢	$37.2 (56.2%)	$66.1 · 41	$103 · 2	$0	Mar 4, 2026 8:13 PM
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Senshi Esports Club (BO1) WonSenshi Esports ClubSports	48.0¢ / 100.0¢	$36 (107.3%)	$33.6 · 1	$69.7 · 1	$0	Jan 15, 2026 11:33 PM
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics	42.0¢ / 0.0¢	$35 (23.8%)	$147 · 1	$182 · 1	$0	Feb 1, 2026 7:31 AM
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? WonYesPolitics	15.8¢ / 18.0¢	$32.7 (20.5%)	$160 · 1	$192 · 5	$0	Jan 8, 2026 1:58 AM
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday? WonNoPolitics	60.0¢ / 100.0¢	$29.1 (58.1%)	$50.1 · 1	$79.2 · 1	$0	Jan 17, 2026 9:34 AM
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on Janu… WonNoWeather	80.0¢ / 100.0¢	$23.7 (23.8%)	$99.9 · 1	$124 · 1	$0	Jan 23, 2026 9:25 AM
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale? WonNoCrypto	56.0¢ / 100.0¢	$22 (5.2%)	$420 · 1	$442 · 1	$0	Jan 10, 2026 6:07 PM
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on February 1? WonNoWeather	86.0¢ / 100.0¢	$21.5 (16.1%)	$133 · 1	$155 · 1	$0	Feb 2, 2026 6:55 AM
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? WonYesPolitics	0.9¢ / 2.0¢	$19.5 (144.4%)	$13.5 · 1	$33 · 1	$0	Jul 29, 2026 3:58 PM
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5? WonYesPolitics	86.6¢ / 100.0¢	$19.5 (10.7%)	$182 · 1	$201 · 1	$0	Jan 4, 2026 3:41 AM
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on Janu… WonNoWeather	88.4¢ / 100.0¢	$19.4 (13.0%)	$149 · 1	$168 · 2	$0	Jan 22, 2026 3:02 AM
Will Trump post "Sleepy Joe" this week on Truth Social? WonYesMentions	77.4¢ / 100.0¢	$19.3 (27.9%)	$69.2 · 1	$88.5 · 1	$0	Apr 16, 2026 11:36 PM
Over $45M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? WonNoCrypto	54.7¢ / 100.0¢	$18.9 (52.4%)	$35 · 1	$55.1 · 1	$0	Jul 4, 2026 7:20 PM

Jiraiya.will.be.fine -$2.83K PnL · Polymarket

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$11.7

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$11.7

Open-$2.75K

High-$2.75K

Low-$2.76K

Close-$2.76K

Open positions5

USD balance$14.7

2$24.5

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$24.5

Open-$2.76K

High-$2.73K

Low-$2.76K

Close-$2.74K

Open positions4

USD balance$69.8

3-$30.9

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$30.9

Open-$2.74K

High-$2.73K

Low-$2.77K

Close-$2.77K

Open positions6

USD balance$18.5

4-$16.4

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$16.4

Open-$2.77K

High-$2.77K

Low-$2.79K

Close-$2.79K

Open positions5

USD balance$18.5

5$2.67

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.67

Open-$2.79K

High-$2.78K

Low-$2.79K

Close-$2.78K

Open positions4

USD balance$22.7

6$9

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

Open-$2.78K

High-$2.77K

Low-$2.79K

Close-$2.77K

Open positions5

USD balance$9.25

7-$5.51

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$5.51

Open-$2.77K

High-$2.77K

Low-$2.78K

Close-$2.78K

Open positions6

USD balance$0.11

8$2.79

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.79

Open-$2.78K

High-$2.76K

Low-$2.78K

Close-$2.78K

Open positions6

USD balance$0.11

9$9.3

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$9.3

Open-$2.78K

High-$2.76K

Low-$2.79K

Close-$2.77K

Open positions5

USD balance$33.1

10-$0.11

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.11

Open-$2.77K

High-$2.76K

Low-$2.77K

Close-$2.77K

Open positions5

USD balance$33.1

11$16.3

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$16.3

Open-$2.77K

High-$2.75K

Low-$2.77K

Close-$2.75K

Open positions5

USD balance$0

12-$0.6

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.6

Open-$2.75K

High-$2.75K

Low-$2.76K

Close-$2.75K

Open positions5

USD balance$0

13-$6.63

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$6.63

Open-$2.75K

High-$2.71K

Low-$2.76K

Close-$2.76K

Open positions6

USD balance$1.97

14$3.06

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.06

Open-$2.76K

High-$2.72K

Low-$2.77K

Close-$2.75K

Open positions6

USD balance$1.97

15$42.4

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$42.4

Open-$2.75K

High-$2.71K

Low-$2.79K

Close-$2.71K

Open positions6

USD balance$4.4

16-$13

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

-$13

Open-$2.71K

High-$2.69K

Low-$2.74K

Close-$2.73K

Open positions7

USD balance$0.07

17-$82.9

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$82.9

Open-$2.73K

High-$2.68K

Low-$2.81K

Close-$2.81K

Open positions4

USD balance$0

18-$1.44

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.44

Open-$2.81K

High-$2.81K

Low-$2.81K

Close-$2.81K

Open positions4

USD balance$0

19-$15.5

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$15.5

Open-$2.81K

High-$2.81K

Low-$2.83K

Close-$2.83K

Open positions2

USD balance$0.03

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $07D $030D -$74.6

Markets

246

Won

125

Lost

Combos

Win Rate

69.1%

Profit Factor

1.46x

Avg Win

$14.7

Avg Loss

-$22.5

Total Wins

$1.84K

Total Losses

-$1.26K

Avg. Hold Time

4d 20h 15m 38s

Best Win

$194

Lighter Airdrop on December 31?

Worst Loss

-$531

Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 6–10 seconds?

Period

Best Period

$3.21K, Jan 17 – Jan 23

Worst Period

-$3.84K, Jan 23 – Jan 29

Longest Streak

5d W / 5d L

Current Streak

4d L

Max Drawdown

-$4.03K (-334.4%)

Current DD

-$4.03K (-334.4%)

Max Runup

$3.42K (154.4%)

Rebates

Rewards

$25.7(12)

Yield

Jiraiya.will.be.fine

Analytics

Jiraiya.will.be.fine

Analytics

Jiraiya.will.be.fine

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Jiraiya.will.be.fine

Trader DNA

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Trader DNA