Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
ResolvedVolume
$11M
Txns
113,112
Traders
4,633
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$11M
Txns
113,112
Traders
4,633
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$21.9Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11.2Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.71Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 92%$1.6Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.76Mvolume
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 61%$1.81Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | Yeueu | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.96 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | 0x2244fa5d1B9afAc8CC9cbBb915BbFC33f5A984b4-1738652089992 | No / 99.9¢ | -10.96 | $10.9 | |
| 3mo | tizhe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | Yeueu | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | 0x4BD35177C50Bf1675820413210Fae517CeBCa29a-1740903840021 | No / 99.9¢ | -13.10 | $13.1 | |
| 3mo | Yeueu | Yes / 0.1¢ | -13.10 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | 0xF2ac21017a0C9E26024BDDd10801041C37c750Ba-1739460089351 | No / 99.9¢ | -11.50 | $11.5 | |
| 3mo | Yeueu | Yes / 0.1¢ | -11.50 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | 0xC167cEb34502318e780527bE34329F292994D3f4-1740744586388 | No / 99.9¢ | -12.69 | $12.7 | |
| 3mo | Yeueu | Yes / 0.1¢ | -12.69 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | Yeueu | Yes / 0.1¢ | -277.88 | $0.28 | |
| 3mo | 0x7c1f2FF744B465D94fb362e5dC985F8b7f59B1f1-1763054443279 | No / 99.9¢ | -277.88 | $278 | |
| 3mo | 0x6a9d...16c97c | No / 99.9¢ | -5.01 | $5 | |
| 3mo | Yeueu | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.01 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | Yeueu | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100,120.00 | $100 | |
| 3mo | lucky112 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100,120.00 | $100 | |
| 3mo | 286mgfr | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | akunai | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | Yeueu | Yes / 0.1¢ | -418,856.97 | $419 | |
| 3mo | tizhe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +416,746.97 | $417 | |
| 3mo | SMasha | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 3mo | tizhe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31,967.19 | $32 | |
| 3mo | Siziriv | Yes / 0.1¢ | -31,967.19 | $32 | |
| 3mo | yzhaobk-nrt | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 3mo | tizhe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 |
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