Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

On January 8, 2026, a nationwide and ongoing internet blackout began in Iran amid continuing protests. This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by January 16, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “internet access is restored” means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have recovered to at least 20% of the prior 14-day baseline for a minimum of four consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart. Only the first of the four consecutive qualifying hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed. The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir); however, in case the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.