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| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? NoPolitics 55.00 shares | 49.0¢ / 82.0¢ | $18.1 (67.3%) | $26.9 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:01 PM | |
![]() Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? YesPolitics 77.00 shares | 10.3¢ / 5.7¢ | -$3.53 (-44.6%) | $7.92 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:00 PM | |
![]() U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? NoPolitics 58.82 shares | 51.0¢ / 21.8¢ | -$17.2 (-57.2%) | $30 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:00 PM | |
![]() Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? NoPolitics 11.00 shares | 66.9¢ / 98.6¢ | $3.48 (47.3%) | $7.26 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:59 PM | |
![]() Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesPolitics 41.50 shares | 26.7¢ / 20.0¢ | -$10.6 (-11.7%) | $91 · 7 | $72.1 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:59 PM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? NoPolitics 110.00 shares | 59.7¢ / 63.0¢ | $3.63 (5.5%) | $65.7 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:56 PM | |
![]() Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? YesPolitics 55.00 shares | 22.0¢ / 6.0¢ | -$8.8 (-72.7%) | $12.1 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:54 PM | |
![]() Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? YesPolitics 106.32 shares | 36.7¢ / 24.0¢ | -$13.5 (-34.7%) | $39 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:54 PM | |
![]() Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? YesPolitics 1,963.27 shares | 43.4¢ / 9.0¢ | -$675 (-79.3%) | $852 · 58 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:53 PM | |
![]() US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? YesPolitics 100.00 shares | 59.0¢ / 43.0¢ | -$16 (-27.1%) | $59 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:48 PM | |
![]() Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31… YesFinance 54.99 shares | 55.0¢ / 7.7¢ | -$26 (-86.0%) | $30.2 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:44 PM | |
![]() Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31? YesTech 44.00 shares | 48.0¢ / 27.2¢ | -$9.15 (-43.3%) | $20.7 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:44 PM | |
![]() Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? YesPolitics 238.00 shares | 27.7¢ / 24.0¢ | -$1.47 (-1.8%) | $78.9 · 6 | $22.1 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:43 PM | |
![]() Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? YesPolitics 66.00 shares | 35.0¢ / 26.4¢ | -$5.68 (-24.6%) | $23.1 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:35 PM | |
![]() Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets New York MetsSports 11.00 shares | 43.2¢ / 38.0¢ | -$0.57 (-12.1%) | $4.62 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:28 PM | |
![]() Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? YesPolitics 49.00 shares | 43.3¢ / 34.0¢ | -$4.66 (-13.6%) | $34.2 · 2 | $12.9 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:26 PM | |
![]() US government bans an open source AI model in 2026? YesTech 55.00 shares | 52.0¢ / 20.0¢ | -$17.6 (-61.5%) | $28.6 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:25 PM | |
![]() Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? NoTech 11.00 shares | 75.8¢ / 92.7¢ | $1.86 (22.4%) | $8.25 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:15 PM | |
![]() Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? NoPolitics 118.99 shares | 18.5¢ / 17.9¢ | -$0.64 (-2.9%) | $21.3 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:12 PM | |
![]() Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? NoTech 32.99 shares | 29.0¢ / 28.0¢ | -$0.32 (-3.3%) | $9.57 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:10 PM | |
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by Jul… YesPolitics 33.00 shares | 21.0¢ / 0.3¢ | -$6.84 (-98.8%) | $6.93 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:06 PM | |
![]() Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? NoTech 55.00 shares | 74.0¢ / 70.5¢ | -$1.93 (-4.7%) | $40.7 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:06 PM | |
![]() US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? NoPolitics 22.00 shares | 50.0¢ / 51.0¢ | $0.22 (2.0%) | $11 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:05 PM | |
![]() Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? NoPolitics 201.59 shares | 40.7¢ / 20.9¢ | -$39.9 (-48.6%) | $82 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:02 PM | |
![]() Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland GuardiansSports 10.64 shares | 47.7¢ / 43.0¢ | -$0.51 (-9.9%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:02 PM |
1–25
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $748 (59.8%) | $1.23K · 35 | $2K · 18 | $0 | Jul 7, 2026 4:32 PM | ||
24.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $666 (172.8%) | $385 · 20 | $1.05K · 6 | $0 | Aug 6, 2024 6:38 PM | ||
50.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $519 (91.3%) | $568 · 23 | $1.09K · 1 | $0 | Dec 11, 2025 5:51 PM | ||
![]() Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? WonNoPolitics | 61.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $210 (61.5%) | $342 · 11 | $0 | $0 | Apr 24, 2025 2:34 AM | |
60.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $200 (16.2%) | $1.2K · 15 | $1.43K · 12 | $0 | Jul 7, 2026 4:32 PM | ||
12.8¢ / 0.0¢ | $177 (114.8%) | $154 · 16 | $332 · 27 | $0 | Jul 20, 2026 6:55 PM | ||
![]() Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? WonYesPolitics | 86.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $156 (10.9%) | $1.43K · 28 | $295 · 6 | $0 | Oct 26, 2024 4:16 AM | |
![]() Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%? WonYesPolitics | 60.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $152 (35.3%) | $429 · 18 | $581 · 2 | $0 | Oct 25, 2025 8:11 PM | |
![]() Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? WonYesPolitics | 59.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $144 (66.8%) | $215 · 15 | $0 | $0 | Mar 1, 2026 12:30 AM | |
![]() Will Trump's hush money conviction be overturned? WonNoPolitics | 79.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $136 (26.4%) | $515 · 18 | $0 | $0 | Jan 11, 2025 4:05 AM | |
69.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $132 (42.5%) | $311 · 9 | $443 · 2 | $0 | Nov 24, 2025 2:23 AM | ||
![]() Will either candidate concede in November? WonYesPolitics | 64.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $124 (54.2%) | $229 · 6 | $0 | $0 | Nov 7, 2024 12:26 PM | |
67.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $123 (27.0%) | $456 · 7 | $579 · 1 | $0 | Dec 15, 2025 2:48 AM | ||
![]() Assad out as President of Syria by March 31, 2025? WonYesPolitics | 34.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $120 (188.1%) | $64 · 6 | $0 | $0 | Dec 8, 2024 4:47 PM | |
![]() Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonNoSports | 71.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $112 (40.4%) | $274 · 9 | $0 | $0 | Jul 15, 2026 12:11 AM | |
61.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $110 (26.0%) | $421 · 15 | $531 · 1 | $0 | Dec 10, 2025 10:45 AM | ||
![]() Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31? WonYesPolitics | 54.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $98.8 (83.9%) | $118 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Aug 8, 2025 10:34 PM | |
![]() Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025? WonNoPolitics | 63.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $96.9 (47.6%) | $203 · 7 | $300 · 2 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 8:45 AM | |
![]() Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? WonNoPolitics | 52.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $94.8 (36.5%) | $259 · 13 | $354 · 1 | $0 | May 8, 2026 11:54 PM | |
![]() Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025? WonYesPolitics | 86.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $91.8 (14.1%) | $651 · 12 | $87 · 1 | $0 | Apr 4, 2025 8:24 PM | |
![]() Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope? WonNoPolitics | 66.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $89.6 (50.3%) | $178 · 10 | $0 | $0 | May 8, 2025 11:53 PM | |
![]() Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonNoSports | 75.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $82.6 (33.1%) | $246 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 12:12 AM | |
![]() US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? WonNoPolitics | 68.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $77.6 (35.4%) | $219 · 8 | $297 · 1 | $0 | Nov 1, 2025 6:20 AM | |
![]() Maduro out in 2024? WonNoPolitics | 73.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $76.7 (19.6%) | $391 · 17 | $467 · 3 | $0 | Jan 1, 2025 9:08 AM | |
![]() Maduro out before September? WonNoPolitics | 85.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $75.3 (16.6%) | $453 · 13 | $0 | $0 | Sep 1, 2024 12:51 PM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
8351
Won
4061
Lost
4232
Win Rate
49.0%
Profit Factor
1.15x
Avg Win
$5.01
Avg Loss
-$4.19
Total Wins
$20.3K
Total Losses
-$17.8K
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
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Rebates
Rewards
Yield