
Volume
$930K
Txns
6,207
Traders
911
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates between May 28 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Grisnatch | No / 0.4¢ | -75.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.5¢ | -378.72 | $1.89 | |
| 1y | Monka | Yes / 99.5¢ | -453.72 | $452 | |
| 1y | Boot1 | No / 0.1¢ | -149.99 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | Lizrael | Yes / 99.9¢ | -149.99 | $150 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.2¢ | +808.99 | $1.62 | |
| 1y | 7153649820 | Yes / 99.7¢ | -200.00 | $199 | |
| 1y | ryunose | No / 0.2¢ | -2,000.00 | $4.3 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 99.6¢ | -51.00 | $50.8 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.2¢ | +940.01 | $1.88 | |
| 1y | longtern | Yes / 99.2¢ | +425.65 | $422 | |
| 1y | rox | Yes / 99.2¢ | -425.65 | $422 | |
| 1y | peter.rabbit | Yes / 99.3¢ | +40.00 | $39.7 | |
| 1y | rox | Yes / 99.3¢ | -40.00 | $39.7 | |
| 1y | Sino | Yes / 99.2¢ | -2.35 | $2.33 | |
| 1y | longtern | Yes / 99.2¢ | +2.35 | $2.33 | |
| 1y | longtern | Yes / 99.2¢ | +113.18 | $112 | |
| 1y | DRMH | Yes / 99.2¢ | -113.18 | $112 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 98.3¢ | +50.00 | $49.1 | |
| 1y | SigmaBroker | Yes / 98.2¢ | -112.29 | $110 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 98.2¢ | +62.29 | $61.2 | |
| 1y | Shekel | Yes / 98.4¢ | -1.00 | $0.98 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 98.4¢ | +1.00 | $0.98 | |
| 1y | joffery | No / 0.2¢ | -809.99 | $1.62 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.2¢ | +809.99 | $1.62 |
1–25
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
No 93%$112Kvolume
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
No 98%$322Kvolume
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?
No 86%$79.9Kvolume
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
No 97%$69.9Kvolume
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 56%$116Kvolume
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 73%$62.7Kvolume