Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?

This market resolves to the next individual officially announced as a Vice Chair (“中央军委副主席”) of the Communist Party of China’s Central Military Commission (CMC) after market creation. If multiple individuals are announced on the same day, the market will resolve in favor of the individual who was announced first by an official source. If multiple individuals are officially announced simultaneously as CMC Vice Chairs in the same official document/broadcast, the market will resolve in accordance with the listed order indicated by the official announcement. If no order is indicated the market will resolve according to the alphabetical order of the individuals listed last name. If no Vice Chair (“中央军委副主席”) of the Communist Party of China’s Central Military Commission (CMC) is announced by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”. The primary resolution sources will be official Chinese state announcements (such as Xinhua bulletins, People’s Daily readouts, etc.) However a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.