
Volume
$78K
Txns
2,226
Traders
330
Fees
$72
Ends
May 5, 2026
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s May meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its May 5, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their May 5, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | CryptoPreeti | No / 0.1¢ | +4,999.75 | $5 | |
| 2mo | probability | Yes / 99.9¢ | +30.79 | $30.8 | |
| 2mo | probability | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,969.21 | $4.96K | |
| 2mo | Dr.mett | No / 0.1¢ | -59.69 | $0.06 | |
| 2mo | probability | Yes / 99.9¢ | +30.79 | $30.8 | |
| 2mo | turista.analog | Yes / 99.9¢ | -90.48 | $90.4 | |
| 2mo | orenmiz | Yes / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 2mo | Dr.mett | No / 0.1¢ | -6.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | SarcasmPro | Yes / 99.0¢ | -13.00 | $12.9 | |
| 2mo | BrokenBet | Yes / 99.0¢ | -15.00 | $14.8 | |
| 2mo | probability | Yes / 99.0¢ | +13.00 | $12.9 | |
| 2mo | OddsKingef | Yes / 99.0¢ | -14.00 | $13.9 | |
| 2mo | WittyAndBroken | Yes / 99.0¢ | -1.94 | $1.92 | |
| 2mo | probability | Yes / 99.0¢ | +14.00 | $13.9 | |
| 2mo | probability | Yes / 99.0¢ | +1.94 | $1.92 | |
| 2mo | probability | Yes / 99.0¢ | +15.00 | $14.8 | |
| 2mo | vesper-123 | Yes / 99.0¢ | -6.00 | $5.94 | |
| 2mo | probability | Yes / 99.0¢ | +6.00 | $5.94 | |
| 2mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 95.0¢ | -6.38 | $6.06 | |
| 2mo | 0xC5606BD8D8ce9393a0d28c0deC629493B21EAdbA-1772327177801 | Yes / 95.0¢ | -6.57 | $6.24 | |
| 2mo | 0x43a6...50dcf8 | Yes / 99.0¢ | -9.10 | $9.01 | |
| 2mo | rocketcrypto | No / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | balthazar | No / 2.0¢ | +91.25 | $1.83 | |
| 2mo | christobirizz | No / 3.0¢ | +74.00 | $2.22 | |
| 2mo | balthazar | No / 4.0¢ | +19.00 | $0.76 |
1–25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 75%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No 86%$0volume
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 92%$0volume
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 96%$0volume