balthazar +$1.14M PnL

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? YesPolitics 2,191.87 shares	51.5¢ / 36.6¢	-$327 (-28.9%)	$1.13K · 6	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? YesPolitics 48.55 shares	60.3¢ / 0.6¢	-$14.3 (-16.0%)	$0	$0	$75	Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin… YesPolitics 116.50 shares	100.9¢ / 75.4¢	-$4.14K (-49.6%)	$83.5 · 2	$122 · 3	$4K	Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti… YesPolitics 1,399.33 shares	37.8¢ / 0.1¢	-$485 (-73.2%)	$0	$0	$176	Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 29? YesWeather 183.35 shares	24.5¢ / 3.0¢	-$84 (-83.6%)	$96.7 · 1	$0.83 · 1	$10.2	Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti… NoPolitics 98.57 shares	84.8¢ / 76.0¢	$23.1K (170.3%)	$45.4K · 207	$0	$109	Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 29? YesWeather 200.00 shares	35.4¢ / 41.7¢	-$58 (-41.0%)	$100	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? YesMentions 524.68 shares	23.7¢ / 10.6¢	-$241 (-74.4%)	$300	$27.1 · 7	$0	Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? NoPolitics 1,423.30 shares	46.3¢ / 10.0¢	-$891 (-81.8%)	$1.09K · 2	$55.6 · 2	$0	Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? YesPolitics 701.54 shares	18.6¢ / 51.7¢	$410 (173.4%)	$0	$0	$284	Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Ru… YesPolitics 1,387.43 shares	25.8¢ / 0.3¢	-$4.28K (-76.0%)	$0	$67.8 · 194	$1.28K	Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 29? NoWeather 30.00 shares	93.9¢ / 92.0¢	$56.5 (135.0%)	$121 · 4	$0	$7.03	Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 29? YesWeather 234.92 shares	7.0¢ / 8.0¢	$4.9 (20.9%)	$0	$2.53 · 4	$7.03	Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 29? YesWeather 160.00 shares	10.0¢ / 18.0¢	$16.4 (81.7%)	$0	$7.7 · 1	$0	Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 29? YesWeather 199.98 shares	0.7¢ / 8.3¢	$15.2 (1047.0%)	$0	$0	$0.01	Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? YesMentions 524.68 shares	7.2¢ / 8.5¢	$6.75 (12.3%)	$0	$16.9 · 7	$0	Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM
Will MrBeast's next video get between 32 and 33 million views on day 4? YesCulture 579.49 shares	0.0¢ / 1.0¢	$6.27 (56265.9%)	$0	$0.23 · 1	$0	Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec… YesPolitics 81.99 shares	25.7¢ / 0.1¢	$59.5 (56.1%)	$0	$0	$165	Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? YesPolitics 1,755.46 shares	41.8¢ / 0.2¢	-$2.37K (-52.2%)	$0	$9.77 · 62	$2.16K	Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 29? YesWeather 183.35 shares	3.9¢ / 0.9¢	-$1.45 (-17.8%)	$0	$0.1 · 1	$5.01	Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? YesFinance 1,253.88 shares	80.8¢ / 0.2¢	-$3.23K (-68.9%)	$0	$5.13 · 18	$1.45K	Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 29? YesWeather 199.98 shares	64.3¢ / 51.8¢	-$161 (-55.6%)	$100	$0	$24.7	Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 28? YesWeather 152.44 shares	15.2¢ / 91.4¢	$133 (436.7%)	$0	$0	$23.8	Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM
Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Socc… YesSports 1,303.14 shares	29.1¢ / 99.2¢	$1.1K (172.2%)	$0	$0	$447	Jul 28, 2026 11:29 PM
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 29? YesWeather 183.87 shares	34.8¢ / 43.0¢	-$52 (-37.4%)	$100	$0	$8.06	Jul 28, 2026 11:29 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will MrBeast's latest video get 76 million or more views on day 6? WonYesCulture	24.5¢ / 100.0¢	$73.5K (302.1%)	$1.11K · 28	$922 · 14	$1.35K	May 26, 2026 6:42 PM
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	37.8¢ / 100.0¢	$61.5K (277.6%)	$14.5K · 76	$7.62K · 66	$4.17K	Jul 20, 2026 1:44 AM
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? WonNoPolitics	51.4¢ / 0.0¢	$55.1K (247.2%)	$45.9K · 792	$0	$3.01K	May 26, 2026 6:42 PM
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina? WonYesSports	51.4¢ / 100.0¢	$36.7K (286.7%)	$12K · 25	$2.46K · 41	$4.79K	Jul 19, 2026 10:54 PM
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? WonNoPolitics	83.8¢ / 100.0¢	$35.7K (88.2%)	$72.1K · 763	$0	$2.16K	May 26, 2026 6:45 PM
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? WonYesPolitics	31.6¢ / 100.0¢	$33.4K (113.2%)	$28.2K · 428	$1.82K · 23	$30.1K	May 26, 2026 6:44 PM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin… WonNoPolitics	16.4¢ / 24.6¢	$33.3K (1274.2%)	$8.66K · 210	$0	$4K	Jul 28, 2026 11:30 PM
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? WonNoPolitics	92.5¢ / 100.0¢	$32.9K (75.3%)	$79.7K · 774	$0	$1.67K	May 26, 2026 6:47 PM
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? WonYesPolitics	3.7¢ / 0.0¢	$31.6K (745.5%)	$3.47K · 504	$332 · 103	$35.5K	May 26, 2026 6:45 PM
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? WonNoPolitics	97.6¢ / 100.0¢	$31.4K (69.0%)	$84.4K · 775	$0	$1.68K	May 26, 2026 6:41 PM
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? WonNoPolitics	34.2¢ / 0.0¢	$28K (213.3%)	$21.2K · 629	$0	$1.79K	May 22, 2026 6:21 PM
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? WonNoPolitics	96.4¢ / 100.0¢	$27.7K (56.6%)	$83.2K · 764	$0	$2.04K	May 26, 2026 6:40 PM
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? WonNoPolitics	92.3¢ / 100.0¢	$27.2K (55.2%)	$79.6K · 777	$0	$2.12K	May 26, 2026 6:39 PM
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026? WonYesPolitics	1.4¢ / 0.0¢	$27K (3392.0%)	$0	$0	$27.8K	May 13, 2026 12:39 PM
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? WonNoPolitics	94.2¢ / 100.0¢	$26.8K (54.2%)	$81.3K · 763	$0	$2.48K	May 26, 2026 6:45 PM
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026? WonYesPolitics	2.6¢ / 0.0¢	$25.7K (1793.1%)	$21.9 · 16	$0	$27.2K	May 13, 2026 12:39 PM
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 WonUnderSports	49.6¢ / 100.0¢	$24.6K (91.6%)	$26.7K · 34	$118 · 7	$2.25K	Jul 14, 2026 9:16 PM
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	64.9¢ / 100.0¢	$24.2K (401.1%)	$5.55K · 29	$1.33K · 9	$1.95K	Jul 20, 2026 1:47 AM
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt? WonYesSports	18.1¢ / 100.0¢	$23.9K (318.4%)	$5.2K · 9	$490 · 22	$4.85K	Jul 7, 2026 6:35 PM
Will another team win the 2027 NFL league championship? WonYes	2091.5¢ / 0.0¢	-$7.11K (-100.0%)	$0	$0	$0	Jul 13, 2026 10:10 PM
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)? WonYesPolitics	43.4¢ / 100.0¢	$23.3K (83.0%)	$28.1K · 660	$535 · 12	$12.2K	Feb 28, 2026 10:52 AM
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)? WonYesPolitics	1.3¢ / 0.0¢	$23K (1827.2%)	$680 · 196	$0	$24.3K	May 26, 2026 6:43 PM
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? WonNoPolitics	96.3¢ / 100.0¢	$22.9K (43.6%)	$83.4K · 777	$0	$4.05K	May 26, 2026 6:44 PM
Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first? WonYesSports	39.5¢ / 100.0¢	$22.1K (129.0%)	$14.1K · 221	$323 · 9	$4.06K	Jul 19, 2026 10:54 PM
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)? WonYesPolitics	2.8¢ / 0.0¢	$21.1K (1669.2%)	$724 · 117	$0	$22.4K	May 26, 2026 6:40 PM

balthazar +$1.14M PnL · Polymarket

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$10.4K

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$10.4K

Open$837K

High$848K

Low$837K

Close$847K

Open positions7,914

USD balance$23.9K

2$6.13K

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$6.13K

Open$847K

High$857K

Low$843K

Close$853K

Open positions7,865

USD balance$37.6K

3$11.6K

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$11.6K

Open$853K

High$871K

Low$842K

Close$865K

Open positions8,012

USD balance$48.7K

4$14.6K

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$14.6K

Open$865K

High$881K

Low$862K

Close$879K

Open positions7,688

USD balance$218K

5$8.34K

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$8.34K

Open$879K

High$890K

Low$875K

Close$888K

Open positions7,791

USD balance$46.4K

6$15.8K

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$15.8K

Open$888K

High$904K

Low$885K

Close$904K

Open positions7,728

USD balance$27.2K

7$29.9K

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$29.9K

Open$904K

High$934K

Low$902K

Close$933K

Open positions7,625

USD balance$248K

8-$14.4K

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$14.4K

Open$933K

High$938K

Low$918K

Close$919K

Open positions7,780

USD balance$230K

9$5.36K

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$5.36K

Open$919K

High$925K

Low$916K

Close$924K

Open positions7,784

USD balance$200K

10$7.77K

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$7.77K

Open$924K

High$935K

Low$923K

Close$932K

Open positions7,741

USD balance$288K

11$10.7K

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$10.7K

Open$932K

High$944K

Low$926K

Close$943K

Open positions7,633

USD balance$220K

12$7.06K

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$7.06K

Open$943K

High$950K

Low$938K

Close$950K

Open positions7,628

USD balance$331K

13$2.82K

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.82K

Open$950K

High$954K

Low$948K

Close$953K

Open positions7,620

USD balance$330K

14$18.7K

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$18.7K

Open$953K

High$973K

Low$945K

Close$971K

Open positions7,589

USD balance$322K

15$71.6K

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$71.6K

Open$971K

High$1.04M

Low$971K

Close$1.04M

Open positions7,642

USD balance$352K

16$4.23K

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.23K

Open$1.04M

High$1.05M

Low$1.04M

Close$1.05M

Open positions7,864

USD balance$353K

17$1.71K

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.71K

Open$1.05M

High$1.05M

Low$1.04M

Close$1.05M

Open positions7,921

USD balance$355K

18$7.84K

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$7.84K

Open$1.05M

High$1.06M

Low$1.05M

Close$1.06M

Open positions8,075

USD balance$328K

19$63.8K

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$63.8K

Open$1.06M

High$1.13M

Low$1.06M

Close$1.12M

Open positions8,449

USD balance$326K

20$953

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

$953

Open$1.12M

High$1.12M

Low$1.12M

Close$1.12M

Open positions7,759

USD balance$461K

21$7.4K

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

$7.4K

Open$1.12M

High$1.13M

Low$1.12M

Close$1.13M

Open positions7,873

USD balance$464K

22$1.78K

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.78K

Open$1.13M

High$1.13M

Low$1.13M

Close$1.13M

Open positions7,826

USD balance$60.4K

23$4.53K

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.53K

Open$1.13M

High$1.14M

Low$1.13M

Close$1.14M

Open positions7,865

USD balance$53.6K

24$3.67K

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.67K

Open$1.14M

High$1.14M

Low$1.13M

Close$1.14M

Open positions8,000

USD balance$84.1K

25-$46.7

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$46.7

Open$1.14M

High$1.14M

Low$1.14M

Close$1.14M

Open positions8,129

USD balance$90.3K

26$1.98K

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.98K

Open$1.14M

High$1.14M

Low$1.14M

Close$1.14M

Open positions8,106

USD balance$68.6K

27-$171

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$171

Open$1.14M

High$1.14M

Low$1.14M

Close$1.14M

Open positions8,005

USD balance$64.9K

28$199

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$199

Open$1.14M

High$1.14M

Low$1.14M

Close$1.14M

Open positions7,919

USD balance$74.9K

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $1997D $12.6K30D $316K

Markets

40946

Won

27245

Lost

28886

Win Rate

48.5%

Profit Factor

1.72x

Avg Win

$313

Avg Loss

-$172

Total Wins

$8.54M

Total Losses

-$4.95M

Avg. Hold Time

8d 2h 55m 1s

Best Win

$74.6K

Will MrBeast's latest video get 76 million or more views on day 6?

Worst Loss

-$97.6K

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Period

Best Period

$168K, Jul 13 – Jul 19

Worst Period

-$169, Aug 26 – Sep 1

Longest Streak

40d W / 4d L

Current Streak

1d W

Max Drawdown

-$14.4K (-1.5%)

Current DD

$0 (0.0%)

Max Runup

$1.14M (548281.8%)

Rebates

$5.49K(73)

Rewards

$9.36K(184)

Yield

$78.5(195)

balthazar

Analytics

Analytics

balthazar

balthazar

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

balthazar

Trader DNA

Trader DNA