Volume
$58K
Txns
1,800
Traders
477
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or Sam Altman initiate a lawsuit against Elon Musk by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be statements from Sam Altman, OpenAI, and Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$189Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$116Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.17Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 100%$74.8Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$120Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 88%$1.84Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Hoongdong12 | No / 99.7¢ | -10.00 | $9.97 | |
| 1y | gaffy3r | Yes / 0.3¢ | -10.00 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1y | polqerniod | No / 99.9¢ | -11.00 | $11 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | +11,936.21 | $11.9K | |
| 1y | BabyYoda12 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +11,775.21 | $11.8 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.9¢ | -150.00 | $150 | |
| 1y | Hoondong18 | No / 99.9¢ | +20.02 | $20 | |
| 1y | BabyYoda12 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.02 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | Hoondong19 | No / 99.9¢ | +11.25 | $11.2 | |
| 1y | BabyYoda12 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +11.25 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | adjkske | No / 99.9¢ | +20.02 | $20 | |
| 1y | BabyYoda12 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.02 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | Hoondong21 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 1y | BabyYoda12 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | BabyYoda12 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.02 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | Hoondong22 | No / 99.9¢ | +15.02 | $15 | |
| 1y | Hoondong23 | No / 99.9¢ | +15.02 | $15 | |
| 1y | BabyYoda12 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.02 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | BabyYoda12 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.02 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | hoondong7 | No / 99.9¢ | +20.02 | $20 | |
| 1y | BabyYoda12 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.02 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | Hoondong | No / 99.9¢ | +20.02 | $20 | |
| 1y | BabyYoda12 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +25.03 | $0.03 |
1–25