
Volume
$415K
Txns
5,974
Traders
1,123
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI. Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$189Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 61%$332Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.21Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 100%$74.9Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$120Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$117Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | fe37 | No / 99.9¢ | +230.24 | $230 | |
| 1y | 0xD71a06C7Bd896dc3a4a97D97f649a637B381dbd9-1729843932390 | No / 99.9¢ | -230.24 | $230 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1.05 | $0 | |
| 1y | n00ts | No / 99.8¢ | -1.05 | $1.05 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1.42 | $0 | |
| 1y | Mengyuan | No / 99.8¢ | -1.42 | $1.42 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.9¢ | -51.00 | $50.9 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +53.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Winry | No / 99.9¢ | +104.00 | $104 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +51.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | +161.00 | $161 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | Yes / 0.1¢ | +110.00 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.9¢ | +125.00 | $125 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -125.00 | $125 | |
| 1y | helenjackson | No / 99.9¢ | +1.92 | $1.92 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.92 | $1.92 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -2.53 | $2.53 | |
| 1y | johncollins | No / 99.9¢ | +2.53 | $2.53 | |
| 1y | Aptapr | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -10.01 | $10 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | Yes / 0.1¢ | +60.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | TheBoyBilly... | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,406.82 | $1.41 | |
| 1y | Ryunann | No / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1,218.82 | $1.22K | |
| 1y | romerosierra | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 |
1–25