
Volume
$415K
Txns
5,974
Traders
1,123
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI. Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 88%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 88%$0volume
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?
No 88%$0volume
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Yes 71%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes 70%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | fe37 | No / 99.9¢ | +230.24 | $230 | |
| 1y | 0xD71a06C7Bd896dc3a4a97D97f649a637B381dbd9-1729843932390 | No / 99.9¢ | -230.24 | $230 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1.05 | $0 | |
| 1y | n00ts | No / 99.8¢ | -1.05 | $1.05 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1.42 | $0 | |
| 1y | Mengyuan | No / 99.8¢ | -1.42 | $1.42 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.9¢ | -51.00 | $50.9 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +53.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Winry | No / 99.9¢ | +104.00 | $104 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +51.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | +161.00 | $161 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | Yes / 0.1¢ | +110.00 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.9¢ | +125.00 | $125 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -125.00 | $125 | |
| 1y | helenjackson | No / 99.9¢ | +1.92 | $1.92 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.92 | $1.92 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -2.53 | $2.53 | |
| 1y | johncollins | No / 99.9¢ | +2.53 | $2.53 | |
| 1y | Aptapr | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -10.01 | $10 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | Yes / 0.1¢ | +60.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | TheBoyBilly... | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,406.82 | $1.41 | |
| 1y | Ryunann | No / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1,218.82 | $1.22K | |
| 1y | romerosierra | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 |
1–25