
Volume
$294K
Txns
1,193
Traders
203
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 13, 2024
On December 13, OpenAI posted a statement claiming that Elon Musk wanted the company to become a for-profit and "demanded majority equity, absolute control, and to be CEO" (see: https://openai.com/index/elon-musk-wanted-an-openai-for-profit/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk makes any public statement (including X posts) addressing the OpenAi statement by December 13, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Replies that Elon Musk makes to posts commenting on the situation will count, even if they are short (e.g. saying "Yes" to a post about OpenAI's statement will count). The primary resolution source for this market will be statements from Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.09Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 90%$1.78Mvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No 90%$84.4Kvolume
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 100%$661Kvolume
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$2.83Mvolume
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 94%$929Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | cptflyingpancake | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1y | dragonflyonthewall | No / 99.9¢ | -770.37 | $770 | |
| 1y | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | No / 99.9¢ | +770.37 | $770 | |
| 1y | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | No / 99.9¢ | +30.48 | $30.4 | |
| 1y | Bundt-cake | No / 99.9¢ | -30.48 | $30.4 | |
| 1y | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | No / 99.9¢ | +1,200.00 | $1.2K | |
| 1y | schwitzer | No / 99.9¢ | -1,200.00 | $1.2K | |
| 1y | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | schwitzer | No / 99.9¢ | -60.00 | $59.9 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | -60.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | No / 99.9¢ | +4,595.96 | $4.59K | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +60.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | gaffy3r | Yes / 0.2¢ | +2,242.11 | $4.48 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | -2,293.85 | $2.29K | |
| 1y | walmart-112 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -157.89 | $0.32 | |
| 1y | gaffy3r | Yes / 0.2¢ | +157.89 | $0.32 | |
| 1y | xlw2na | No / 99.9¢ | +46.15 | $46.1 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | -46.15 | $46.1 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | -815.66 | $815 | |
| 1y | gaffy3r | Yes / 0.2¢ | +2,400.00 | $4.8 | |
| 1y | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | No / 99.8¢ | +3,215.66 | $3.21K | |
| 1y | Rozits13 | No / 99.9¢ | -1,650.40 | $1.65K | |
| 1y | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | No / 99.9¢ | +8,139.40 | $8.13K |
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