
Volume
$78K
Txns
3,821
Traders
1,065
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman ceases to be CEO of OpenAI for any length of time between September 25, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Sam Altman's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from OpenAI and/or Sam Altman, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Trades
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$189Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 92%$3.21Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 100%$74.9Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$120Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$117Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 89%$1.85Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -405.63 | $405 | |
| 1y | Winry | No / 99.9¢ | +405.63 | $405 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -90.00 | $89.9 | |
| 1y | 0xfbab...953690 | No / 99.9¢ | +90.00 | $89.9 | |
| 1y | taylorclifford | No / 99.9¢ | +6.01 | $6 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -6.01 | $6 | |
| 1y | tami30 | No / 99.9¢ | +6.01 | $6 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -6.01 | $6 | |
| 1y | Aptapr | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -10.01 | $10 | |
| 1y | Aptapr | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -10.01 | $10 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.72 | $1.72 | |
| 1y | sharon27 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.72 | $1.72 | |
| 1y | Mauritius | No / 99.9¢ | +18.12 | $18.1 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -18.12 | $18.1 | |
| 1y | Mauritius | No / 99.9¢ | +6.01 | $6 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -6.01 | $6 | |
| 1y | crystal19 | No / 99.9¢ | +2.56 | $2.56 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -2.56 | $2.56 | |
| 1y | barnessarah | No / 99.9¢ | +1.21 | $1.21 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.21 | $1.21 | |
| 1y | scottduffy | No / 99.9¢ | +2.77 | $2.77 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -2.77 | $2.77 | |
| 1y | michaellowe | No / 99.9¢ | +1.56 | $1.56 |
1–25