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| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? YesPolitics 2.69 shares | 65.6¢ / 77.0¢ | $0.31 (17.3%) | $1.75 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 4:45 AM | |
![]() Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? YesPolitics 15.24 shares | 49.8¢ / 65.0¢ | $2.31 (30.4%) | $7.52 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 4:45 AM | |
![]() Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? NoPolitics 7.70 shares | 70.7¢ / 99.9¢ | $2.25 (41.3%) | $5.39 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 4:42 AM | |
![]() Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? NoPolitics 12.50 shares | 80.8¢ / 95.1¢ | $1.79 (17.7%) | $10 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 4:31 AM | |
![]() Iran full airspace closure by July 31? NoPolitics 2.82 shares | 73.2¢ / 98.6¢ | $0.51 (9.2%) | $5.48 · 3 | $3.31 · 1 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 4:16 AM | |
![]() US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? NoPolitics 1.36 shares | 61.9¢ / 75.0¢ | $0.31 (20.6%) | $1.49 · 1 | $0.8 · 3 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 4:16 AM | |
![]() Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? YesPolitics 43.11 shares | 10.7¢ / 5.1¢ | -$2.42 (-52.4%) | $4.57 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 4:11 AM | |
![]() Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? YesPolitics 10.15 shares | 74.5¢ / 78.8¢ | $0.44 (5.8%) | $7.49 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 4:06 AM | |
![]() US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 2.47 shares | 66.6¢ / 72.0¢ | -$0.2 (-3.2%) | $6.37 · 2 | $4.5 · 1 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 3:31 AM | |
![]() Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? NoPolitics 3.48 shares | 89.9¢ / 90.0¢ | $0 (0.1%) | $3.1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:47 AM | |
![]() Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 4.62 shares | 74.8¢ / 91.0¢ | $0.79 (20.8%) | $3.74 · 1 | $0.36 · 1 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:08 AM | |
![]() Israel closes its airspace by July 31? NoPolitics 1.49 shares | 91.9¢ / 97.8¢ | $0.09 (6.4%) | $1.36 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 12:28 AM | |
![]() Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? YesPolitics 99.77 shares | 4.4¢ / 0.1¢ | -$4.33 (-97.7%) | $4.39 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 12:21 AM | |
![]() Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? NoPolitics 4.18 shares | 49.5¢ / 71.0¢ | $0.9 (43.5%) | $2.05 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 7:30 PM | |
![]() Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? NoPolitics 2.41 shares | 81.5¢ / 99.3¢ | $0.72 (7.1%) | $10 · 1 | $8.52 · 2 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 2:48 PM | |
![]() Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? NoPolitics 7.55 shares | 93.1¢ / 90.0¢ | -$0.24 (-3.4%) | $6.96 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 7:57 PM | |
![]() Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? NoPolitics 1.48 shares | 82.0¢ / 86.2¢ | $0.06 (5.1%) | $1.2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:15 AM |
1–17
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76.4¢ / 99.7¢ | $5.64 (29.6%) | $18.6 · 2 | $24.7 · 9 | $0 | Jul 23, 2026 7:37 PM | ||
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? WonYesPolitics | 18.5¢ / 38.0¢ | $4.15 (83.6%) | $4.82 · 3 | $9.1 · 1 | $0 | Jul 25, 2026 9:21 PM | |
![]() Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 93.1¢ / 99.4¢ | $3.01 (6.8%) | $43.7 · 3 | $47.6 · 8 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 8:41 PM | |
77.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.94 (28.7%) | $10 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:08 PM | ||
![]() Israel closes its airspace by July 31? WonYesPolitics | 11.3¢ / 21.9¢ | $2.89 (94.2%) | $2.98 · 1 | $5.96 · 1 | $0 | Jul 21, 2026 9:51 PM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 38.6¢ / 54.0¢ | $2.51 (24.6%) | $10 · 3 | $12.7 · 13 | $0 | Jul 10, 2026 7:04 AM | |
![]() Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? WonYesPolitics | 65.3¢ / 82.0¢ | $2.28 (24.0%) | $9.27 · 2 | $11.8 · 1 | $0 | Jul 25, 2026 9:24 PM | |
![]() US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? WonNoPolitics | 44.0¢ / 54.0¢ | $2.14 (20.9%) | $10 · 1 | $12.4 · 12 | $0 | Jul 12, 2026 9:57 AM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 56.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.78 (38.5%) | $4.51 · 1 | $6.4 · 1 | $0 | Jul 18, 2026 6:10 AM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 65.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.01 (49.0%) | $2.02 · 1 | $3.08 · 3 | $0 | Jul 11, 2026 6:04 AM | |
![]() Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? WonYesPolitics | 75.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.88 (27.2%) | $3.18 · 2 | $0.63 · 8 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:34 PM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? WonYesPolitics | 27.5¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.65 (0.8%) | $80 · 8 | $82.3 · 51 | $0 | Jul 21, 2026 4:23 PM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? WonNoPolitics | 47.0¢ / 50.6¢ | $0.64 (7.0%) | $8.97 · 1 | $9.79 · 11 | $0 | Jul 22, 2026 6:43 PM | |
![]() Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30? WonYesPolitics | 92.0¢ / 99.6¢ | $0.62 (6.1%) | $9.93 · 1 | $10.8 · 1 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 4:36 AM | |
![]() Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29? WonYesPolitics | 95.6¢ / 99.1¢ | $0.18 (3.6%) | $4.83 · 2 | $5.1 · 2 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:33 PM | |
![]() Iran leadership change by July 31? WonNoPolitics | 97.3¢ / 99.2¢ | $0.06 (1.7%) | $3.66 · 1 | $3.79 · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 9:48 PM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
41
Won
15
Lost
9
Win Rate
62.5%
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$1.88
Avg Loss
-$3.67
Total Wins
$28.2
Total Losses
-$33
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield