| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? NoPolitics 155.79 shares | 65.2¢ / 80.0¢ | $28.7 (17.9%) | $158 · 122 | $64.5 · 7 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:36 PM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? NoPolitics 12.68 shares | 71.7¢ / 99.7¢ | $3.55 (39.0%) | $9 · 7 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:36 PM | |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? NoCrypto 3.00 shares | 50.6¢ / 50.8¢ | $0.01 (0.3%) | $1.45 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:35 PM | |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31? NoPolitics 11.24 shares | 71.9¢ / 92.1¢ | $2.28 (28.2%) | $8 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:35 PM | |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31? NoPolitics 3.70 shares | 82.6¢ / 94.0¢ | $0.84 (9.9%) | $8.36 · 6 | $5.87 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:34 PM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? NoPolitics 8.03 shares | 90.3¢ / 91.8¢ | -$1.27 (-4.7%) | $26.8 · 14 | $18.6 · 17 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:31 PM | |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? YesPolitics 26.01 shares | 11.6¢ / 5.7¢ | -$1.55 (-51.1%) | $3 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:31 PM | |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? NoPolitics 14.67 shares | 65.3¢ / 76.0¢ | $1.56 (16.3%) | $9.49 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:29 PM | |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? NoPolitics 15.39 shares | 78.8¢ / 86.0¢ | $1.11 (9.2%) | $12 · 6 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:28 PM | |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? NoEconomics 11.85 shares | 35.2¢ / 38.0¢ | $0.33 (8.0%) | $4 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:24 PM | |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? NoPolitics 4.11 shares | 73.7¢ / 80.0¢ | $0.26 (8.5%) | $3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:21 PM | |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? YesPolitics 7.41 shares | 15.9¢ / 10.0¢ | -$1.93 (-15.8%) | $12 · 6 | $9.55 · 12 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:21 PM | |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential elect… YesPolitics 5.90 shares | 43.0¢ / 61.1¢ | $1.07 (42.1%) | $2.48 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:20 PM | |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? NoPolitics 3.75 shares | 81.4¢ / 94.8¢ | $0.5 (16.4%) | $3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:20 PM | |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 3.37 shares | 89.9¢ / 92.0¢ | $0.07 (2.3%) | $3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:20 PM | |
 Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? YesWeather 4.53 shares | 83.4¢ / 73.0¢ | -$1.98 (-4.8%) | $39.9 · 2 | $36.1 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:20 PM | |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? YesPolitics 15.55 shares | 64.9¢ / 64.0¢ | -$0.15 (-1.4%) | $10 · 8 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:19 PM | |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? NoPolitics 35.29 shares | 72.9¢ / 98.8¢ | $9.13 (35.5%) | $25.5 · 13 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:18 PM | |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? YesPolitics 12.22 shares | 67.9¢ / 88.0¢ | $8.78 (18.3%) | $47 · 25 | $46 · 2 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:16 PM | |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? YesPolitics 66.67 shares | 4.5¢ / 0.2¢ | -$2.9 (-95.6%) | $3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:14 PM | |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? YesPolitics 22.11 shares | 51.2¢ / 50.0¢ | -$0.23 (-1.9%) | $12 · 4 | $0.85 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:13 PM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? 53.60 shares | — / 24.0¢ | $12.9 | $0 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:12 PM | |
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? NoPolitics 11.11 shares | 54.5¢ / 60.0¢ | $0.61 (10.0%) | $6 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:10 PM | |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31? NoPolitics 20.12 shares | 65.2¢ / 68.0¢ | $0.55 (4.2%) | $13 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:08 PM | |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? NoPolitics 73.55 shares | 77.2¢ / 77.0¢ | $50.6 (834.5%) | $6 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:01 PM |
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