
Volume
$25K
Txns
1,447
Traders
98
Fees
$0
Ends
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No 100%$12.6Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 95%$78Mvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
No 100%$1.9Mvolume
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
No 95%$80.4Kvolume
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
No 91%$904Kvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
No 98%$1.16Mvolume
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