Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
ActiveVolume
$818K
Txns
4,757
Traders
1,006
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$75,851
Ends
Sep 30, 2026
Volume
$818K
Txns
4,757
Traders
1,006
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$75,851
Ends
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | 0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794 | Yes / 2.8¢ | +3.00 | $0.08 | |
| 2h | PPMT | Yes / 2.8¢ | -3.00 | $0.08 | |
| 5h | Ethan99999 | No / 97.0¢ | -150.00 | $146 | |
| 5h | e5c0eeEF61a5E65eC63Fa744D51F3b | Yes / 3.0¢ | -150.00 | $4.5 | |
| 9h | 0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794 | Yes / 2.8¢ | +2.06 | $0.06 | |
| 9h | fanfa | No / 97.2¢ | +2.06 | $2 | |
| 9h | e5c0eeEF61a5E65eC63Fa744D51F3b | Yes / 3.0¢ | -1.03 | $0.03 | |
| 9h | yxx | No / 97.0¢ | -1.03 | $1 | |
| 11h | yuxiangqiezi | No / 97.1¢ | +55.00 | $53.4 | |
| 11h | roumo | No / 97.1¢ | -55.00 | $53.4 | |
| 11h | dashizitou | No / 97.1¢ | -50.00 | $48.5 | |
| 11h | dazao | No / 97.1¢ | +50.00 | $48.5 | |
| 11h | baiguo | No / 97.1¢ | +76.00 | $73.8 | |
| 11h | daxiang-145 | No / 97.1¢ | -76.00 | $73.8 | |
| 11h | qiezi | No / 97.1¢ | -80.00 | $77.7 | |
| 11h | sheshe1 | No / 97.1¢ | +80.00 | $77.7 | |
| 11h | chahua | Yes / 2.9¢ | -300.00 | $8.7 | |
| 11h | yoyoyoyoyoyoo | Yes / 2.9¢ | +300.00 | $8.7 | |
| 12h | e5c0eeEF61a5E65eC63Fa744D51F3b | Yes / 3.0¢ | -162.00 | $4.86 | |
| 12h | todoamber | No / 97.0¢ | -162.00 | $157 | |
| 12h | todoamber | No / 97.1¢ | -43.76 | $42.5 | |
| 12h | terryson | No / 97.1¢ | +43.76 | $42.5 | |
| 15h | 0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794 | Yes / 2.8¢ | +9.26 | $0.26 | |
| 15h | emp992 | No / 97.2¢ | +9.26 | $9 | |
| 17h | 0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794 | Yes / 2.8¢ | +103.00 | $2.88 |
1–25
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