Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
ActiveVolume
$227K
Txns
1,770
Traders
479
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$86,247
Ends
Jun 30, 2027
Volume
$227K
Txns
1,770
Traders
479
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$86,247
Ends
Jun 30, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | whysoserious777 | No / 87.0¢ | -3.40 | $2.96 | |
| 1h | e5c0eeEF61a5E65eC63Fa744D51F3b | Yes / 13.0¢ | -3.40 | $0.44 | |
| 7h | fivefivefive | No / 88.0¢ | -63.41 | $55.8 | |
| 7h | 0x7828C73F22719F844a35323EF694fCd393169f2a-1768839570723 | Yes / 12.0¢ | -63.41 | $7.61 | |
| 1d | Perfectly-Spherical-Gum-Boat | Yes / 12.0¢ | -28.00 | $3.36 | |
| 1d | fivefivefive | No / 88.0¢ | -28.00 | $24.6 | |
| 1d | e5c0eeEF61a5E65eC63Fa744D51F3b | Yes / 13.0¢ | -5.29 | $0.69 | |
| 1d | kk8739 | No / 87.0¢ | -5.29 | $4.6 | |
| 1d | Rickysavage84 | No / 88.0¢ | +1.14 | $1 | |
| 1d | fivefivefive | No / 88.0¢ | -1.14 | $1 | |
| 1d | fivefivefive | No / 88.0¢ | -9.02 | $7.94 | |
| 1d | auramaur | No / 88.0¢ | +9.02 | $7.94 | |
| 2d | 0x94FABaE4Ecb50BBe4fC8e970FDDBB398a8c0bF93-1772853370604 | No / 88.0¢ | +9.80 | $8.62 | |
| 2d | fivefivefive | No / 88.0¢ | -9.80 | $8.62 | |
| 2d | 0x9E13A890Fd4f4Bf2572A8b34a0EC0F47AD49F525-1774863614910 | Yes / 13.0¢ | +300.00 | $39 | |
| 2d | e5c0eeEF61a5E65eC63Fa744D51F3b | Yes / 13.0¢ | -300.00 | $39 | |
| 2d | e5c0eeEF61a5E65eC63Fa744D51F3b | Yes / 13.0¢ | -220.22 | $28.6 | |
| 2d | doil | Yes / 13.0¢ | -566.51 | $73.6 | |
| 2d | george6688 | Yes / 13.0¢ | +800.00 | $104 | |
| 2d | purebaby | Yes / 13.0¢ | -6.50 | $0.84 | |
| 2d | purebaby | Yes / 13.0¢ | -6.77 | $0.88 | |
| 3d | doil | Yes / 13.0¢ | -5.74 | $0.75 | |
| 3d | Low-Latency | No / 87.0¢ | -5.74 | $4.99 | |
| 3d | fivefivefive | No / 88.0¢ | -11.36 | $10 | |
| 3d | nauhiz | No / 88.0¢ | +11.36 | $10 |
1–25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 94%$73.1Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No 99%$11.3Mvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
No 99%$1.51Mvolume
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 90%$2.12Mvolume
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
No 88%$873Kvolume
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?
No 95%$28.2Kvolume