Volume
$68K
Txns
373
Traders
144
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$20,862
Ends
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established. If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island. If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | Oolancer | Yes / 5.7¢ | +17.54 | $1 | |
| 4h | PPMT | Yes / 5.7¢ | -17.54 | $1 | |
| 4h | PPMT | Yes / 4.3¢ | +29.99 | $1.29 | |
| 4h | zhifouzhifou | No / 95.7¢ | -11.86 | $11.4 | |
| 4h | Godefroy-DeBouillon | No / 95.7¢ | +41.85 | $40.1 | |
| 8h | PPMT | No / 95.2¢ | -30.00 | $28.6 | |
| 8h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 4.8¢ | -200.00 | $9.6 | |
| 8h | rocky42025 | Yes / 4.8¢ | +170.00 | $8.16 | |
| 10h | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | No / 94.0¢ | +20.50 | $19.3 | |
| 10h | PPMT | No / 94.1¢ | +30.00 | $28.2 | |
| 10h | Mike922 | Yes / 5.9¢ | +50.50 | $3.01 | |
| 12h | zhifouzhifou | No / 95.7¢ | -3.13 | $3 | |
| 12h | Benitoo | No / 95.7¢ | +3.13 | $3 | |
| 14h | Crawfords | No / 95.0¢ | -440.00 | $418 | |
| 14h | Jarman2 | Yes / 5.0¢ | -900.00 | $45 | |
| 14h | Crowther | No / 95.0¢ | -460.00 | $437 | |
| 14h | Coxv | No / 95.0¢ | -440.00 | $418 | |
| 14h | Croftc | No / 95.0¢ | -460.00 | $437 | |
| 14h | Jarrold | Yes / 5.0¢ | -900.00 | $45 | |
| 14h | Crouchs | No / 95.0¢ | -460.00 | $437 | |
| 14h | Cranstons | No / 95.0¢ | -440.00 | $418 | |
| 14h | James2043 | Yes / 5.0¢ | -900.00 | $45 | |
| 14h | Crocker | No / 95.0¢ | -460.00 | $437 | |
| 14h | Jameson2 | Yes / 5.0¢ | -900.00 | $45 | |
| 14h | Cowley | No / 95.0¢ | -440.00 | $418 |
1–25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
No 73%$0volume
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
No 94%$0volume
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
No 99%$0volume
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
No 99%$0volume
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
No 99%$0volume
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
No 100%$0volume