
Volume
$243K
Txns
2,846
Traders
637
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either China (People's Republic of China) or Japan formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from either the Chinese or Japanese government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 94%$73Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No 99%$11.3Mvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
No 99%$1.51Mvolume
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 92%$2.12Mvolume
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
No 90%$868Kvolume
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?
No 95%$28.2Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | Gaujmalietis | No / 99.8¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 5mo | flywheelpoly | No / 99.8¢ | -5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 5mo | 999097hb | No / 99.8¢ | -36.03 | $36 | |
| 5mo | Gaujmalietis | No / 99.8¢ | +36.03 | $36 | |
| 5mo | fer2h29 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.84 | $5.83 | |
| 5mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.84 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 5mo | hsanad | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | flywheelpoly | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 5mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +12.96 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +27.08 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | hjss | No / 99.9¢ | +40.04 | $40 | |
| 5mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 5mo | nideyangzi | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 5mo | 0x2d4f9C8cC232EEbE8bCf7Cb5dC96bA8fe6e4c89F-1759572948290 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.38 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +24.64 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +43.08 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | htex | No / 99.9¢ | +100.10 | $100 | |
| 5mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +43.95 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +8.09 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | xixiaichaobi | No / 99.9¢ | +110.11 | $110 | |
| 5mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +24.56 | $0.02 |
1–25