
Volume
$243K
Txns
2,850
Traders
637
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either China (People's Republic of China) or Japan formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from either the Chinese or Japanese government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | Gaujmalietis | No / 99.8¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 7mo | flywheelpoly | No / 99.8¢ | -5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 7mo | 999097hb | No / 99.8¢ | -36.03 | $36 | |
| 7mo | Gaujmalietis | No / 99.8¢ | +36.03 | $36 | |
| 7mo | fer2h29 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.84 | $5.83 | |
| 7mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.84 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 7mo | hsanad | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | flywheelpoly | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 7mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +12.96 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +27.08 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | hjss | No / 99.9¢ | +40.04 | $40 | |
| 7mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 7mo | nideyangzi | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 7mo | 0x2d4f9C8cC232EEbE8bCf7Cb5dC96bA8fe6e4c89F-1759572948290 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.38 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +24.64 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +43.08 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | htex | No / 99.9¢ | +100.10 | $100 | |
| 7mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +43.95 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +8.09 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | xixiaichaobi | No / 99.9¢ | +110.11 | $110 | |
| 7mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +24.56 | $0.02 |
1–25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 96%$0volume
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
Yes 91%$0volume
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No 89%$0volume
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 93%$0volume
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
No 92%$0volume
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 94%$0volume