
Volume
$8K
Txns
341
Traders
82
Fees
$99
Liquidity
$284
Ends
Jan 1, 2028
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h | Dr.PNL | Yes / 54.0¢ | -16.00 | $8.64 | |
| 10h | Xixihaha008 | Yes / 54.0¢ | +16.00 | $8.92 | |
| 1d | nastynian | Yes / 58.0¢ | +50.00 | $29 | |
| 1d | RazuchiONE | Yes / 55.7¢ | -50.00 | $27.9 | |
| 5d | AJSV | Yes / 72.0¢ | -3.16 | $2.28 | |
| 5d | J25525 | No / 26.6¢ | -3.16 | $0.84 | |
| 5d | nastynian | Yes / 75.0¢ | +40.00 | $30 | |
| 5d | cripes3 | No / 26.0¢ | -900.83 | $234 | |
| 5d | RazuchiONE | Yes / 74.0¢ | +50.00 | $37 | |
| 5d | MaxEnt | No / 26.0¢ | +990.83 | $271 | |
| 5d | Dr.PNL | Yes / 79.0¢ | -3.02 | $2.39 | |
| 5d | satrigen | No / 19.8¢ | -3.02 | $0.6 | |
| 7d | PPMT | Yes / 78.0¢ | +30.00 | $23.4 | |
| 7d | ScottsRoad | Yes / 76.8¢ | -30.00 | $23 | |
| 8d | Maxpnlmaker | Yes / 75.7¢ | -43.79 | $33.1 | |
| 8d | AJSV | Yes / 77.0¢ | +43.79 | $33.7 | |
| 8d | 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F | Yes / 74.7¢ | -16.48 | $12.3 | |
| 8d | hitjnn214 | Yes / 76.0¢ | +16.48 | $12.5 | |
| 9d | AJSV | No / 23.0¢ | -16.21 | $3.73 | |
| 9d | Maxpnlmaker | Yes / 75.7¢ | -16.21 | $12.3 | |
| 10d | ScottsRoad | Yes / 78.0¢ | +80.00 | $62.4 | |
| 10d | 0x695a0fD98A9F0Eb90B2959E8fC4e59686e556Ee6-1775566314720 | Yes / 76.7¢ | -211.49 | $162 | |
| 10d | Dr.PNL | Yes / 78.0¢ | +55.00 | $42.9 | |
| 10d | Maxpnlmaker | Yes / 78.0¢ | +60.00 | $46.8 | |
| 10d | 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F | Yes / 77.0¢ | +16.49 | $12.7 |
1–25
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
No 92%$0volume
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
Yes 49%$0volume
Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch?
No 59%$0volume
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?
Yes 83%$0volume
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Yes 82%$0volume
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes 82%$0volume