
Volume
$1K
Txns
114
Traders
41
Fees
$7
Liquidity
$701
Ends
Jan 1, 2028
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | dropmeplease | Yes / 89.9¢ | +15.60 | $14 | |
| 2d | zzz321 | Yes / 89.7¢ | -30.60 | $27.5 | |
| 2d | Mojito9 | Yes / 90.8¢ | +15.00 | $13.6 | |
| 2d | zzz321 | Yes / 91.0¢ | +30.60 | $27.8 | |
| 2d | 0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715 | Yes / 90.4¢ | -30.60 | $27.7 | |
| 2d | AJSV | No / 8.9¢ | -16.62 | $1.48 | |
| 2d | 0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715 | Yes / 90.5¢ | -16.62 | $15 | |
| 2d | 0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715 | Yes / 91.9¢ | -42.57 | $39.1 | |
| 2d | AJSV | No / 7.6¢ | -42.57 | $3.24 | |
| 3d | 0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715 | Yes / 92.0¢ | +9.35 | $8.6 | |
| 3d | 0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715 | Yes / 92.2¢ | +14.85 | $13.7 | |
| 3d | hitunfar | Yes / 91.6¢ | -29.75 | $27.2 | |
| 3d | dropmeplease | Yes / 92.0¢ | +5.55 | $5.11 | |
| 3d | yieldagent | No / 8.8¢ | +5.00 | $0.44 | |
| 3d | 0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715 | Yes / 91.2¢ | +5.00 | $4.59 | |
| 3d | 0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715 | Yes / 90.9¢ | +26.79 | $24.5 | |
| 3d | Numitus1994 | No / 9.1¢ | +26.79 | $2.44 | |
| 4d | Xixihaha008 | Yes / 87.3¢ | -12.00 | $10.5 | |
| 4d | jackyxl | Yes / 88.0¢ | +12.00 | $10.6 | |
| 8d | Choroo | No / 5.0¢ | +27.66 | $1.47 | |
| 8d | flexer78 | No / 5.0¢ | -20.00 | $1 | |
| 8d | 49ddgfd | No / 4.9¢ | -7.66 | $0.38 | |
| 8d | observer.here | No / 0.9¢ | -20.00 | $0.19 | |
| 8d | flexer78 | No / 1.0¢ | +20.00 | $0.2 | |
| 8d | observer.here | No / 40.0¢ | +20.00 | $8.34 |
1–25
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
Yes 61%$41.8Kvolume
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?
No 100%$93.8Kvolume
Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch?
No 78%$1.09Kvolume
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes 83%$13.2Kvolume
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?
Yes 80%$3.19Kvolume
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
No 71%$47Kvolume