
Volume
$1K
Txns
120
Traders
35
Fees
$12
Liquidity
$4,148
Ends
Jan 1, 2028
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | 0xf528...127e5b | No / 76.8¢ | -12.00 | $9.22 | |
| 3h | Dr.PNL | No / 78.0¢ | +12.00 | $9.36 | |
| 14h | 0xf528...127e5b | No / 83.0¢ | +12.00 | $9.96 | |
| 14h | Artaius | No / 82.0¢ | -12.00 | $9.84 | |
| 14h | Mojito9 | Yes / 24.0¢ | +8.30 | $1.99 | |
| 14h | alexgg1 | No / 76.0¢ | +8.30 | $6.41 | |
| 16h | ScottsRoad | Yes / 26.0¢ | +60.00 | $15.6 | |
| 16h | Artaius | No / 74.0¢ | +60.00 | $45.2 | |
| 1d | Mojito9 | Yes / 24.0¢ | +6.70 | $1.61 | |
| 1d | alexgg1 | No / 72.2¢ | +27.70 | $20.4 | |
| 1d | Tomblanc | No / 71.0¢ | -21.00 | $14.9 | |
| 2d | simmioi | No / 71.0¢ | +6.00 | $4.35 | |
| 2d | AJSV | No / 71.0¢ | -6.00 | $4.26 | |
| 2d | 0x9ce0...ffeea7 | Yes / 29.0¢ | +11.00 | $3.19 | |
| 2d | simmioi | No / 71.4¢ | +25.00 | $18.2 | |
| 2d | romanew-1-new | Yes / 29.0¢ | +4.52 | $1.31 | |
| 2d | TraderProMax | Yes / 28.0¢ | +9.48 | $2.65 | |
| 2d | romanew-1-new | Yes / 29.0¢ | +11.00 | $3.19 | |
| 2d | simmioi | No / 71.0¢ | +11.00 | $7.97 | |
| 2d | Xixihaha008 | No / 61.4¢ | -21.00 | $12.9 | |
| 2d | Tomblanc | No / 63.0¢ | +21.00 | $13.2 | |
| 2d | Xixihaha008 | No / 62.4¢ | -25.00 | $15.6 | |
| 2d | TraderProMax | Yes / 36.0¢ | -25.00 | $9 | |
| 3d | automaster | Yes / 30.6¢ | -10.00 | $3.06 | |
| 3d | Tomblanc | Yes / 33.0¢ | +1.00 | $0.33 |
1–25
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
Yes 61%$41.8Kvolume
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?
No 100%$93.8Kvolume
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes 83%$13.2Kvolume
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?
Yes 80%$3.19Kvolume
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
No 71%$47Kvolume
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Yes 82%$1.91Kvolume