
Volume
$364
Txns
34
Traders
16
Fees
$4
Liquidity
$399
Ends
Jan 1, 2028
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h | richgator | Yes / 70.9¢ | -20.00 | $14.2 | |
| 10h | ganjubas22 | No / 27.0¢ | -6.25 | $1.69 | |
| 10h | neusramazan | Yes / 72.0¢ | +13.75 | $9.9 | |
| 10h | Jani-new03 | Yes / 80.0¢ | -29.25 | $23.4 | |
| 10h | ganjubas22 | No / 21.0¢ | +6.25 | $1.31 | |
| 10h | hithitfar | No / 19.0¢ | -35.50 | $6.76 | |
| 10h | Jani-new03 | Yes / 79.0¢ | +50.00 | $39.5 | |
| 10h | Mojito9 | No / 20.0¢ | -19.00 | $3.8 | |
| 10h | richgator | Yes / 79.0¢ | +20.00 | $15.8 | |
| 10h | Fire13 | No / 20.9¢ | +177.00 | $39 | |
| 10h | neusramazan | Yes / 79.0¢ | +20.00 | $15.8 | |
| 10h | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 79.0¢ | +68.00 | $53.7 | |
| 1d | Mojito9 | No / 13.0¢ | +10.00 | $1.3 | |
| 1d | Mojito9 | No / 13.0¢ | +9.00 | $1.17 | |
| 1d | Xixihaha008 | No / 12.2¢ | -19.00 | $2.32 | |
| 1d | Lucifer1707 | No / 13.0¢ | +20.00 | $2.76 | |
| 1d | neusramazan | Yes / 87.0¢ | +20.00 | $17.4 | |
| 1d | neusramazan | Yes / 91.0¢ | +19.89 | $18.1 | |
| 1d | Xixihaha008 | No / 9.0¢ | +19.89 | $1.9 | |
| 1d | 0xCb8D2132486036aC971ED7f64b2330DB43F69E29-1761653520782 | Yes / 92.0¢ | +2.00 | $1.84 | |
| 1d | explorer221 | No / 8.0¢ | +2.00 | $0.17 | |
| 1d | 0xCb8D2132486036aC971ED7f64b2330DB43F69E29-1761653520782 | Yes / 92.0¢ | +35.50 | $32.7 | |
| 1d | 0xCb8D2132486036aC971ED7f64b2330DB43F69E29-1761653520782 | Yes / 92.0¢ | +12.50 | $11.6 | |
| 1d | AJSV | No / 8.0¢ | +12.50 | $1 | |
| 1d | hithitfar | No / 8.0¢ | +35.50 | $3.02 |
1–25
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Yes 82%$4.4Kvolume
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?
No 95%$49.2Kvolume
Arc FDV above $20B one day after launch?
No 97%$205volume
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
No 58%$11.3Kvolume
Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch?
No 11%$30.6volume
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?
Yes 96%$157volume