
Volume
$21K
Txns
866
Traders
182
Fees
$295
Liquidity
$1,173
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42m | PPMT | No / 40.0¢ | +0.59 | $0.24 | |
| 42m | MiniElTigre | No / 38.3¢ | -0.59 | $0.23 | |
| 1h | 0xf22b...647eab | No / 48.0¢ | +35.99 | $17.9 | |
| 1h | MiniElTigre | No / 48.0¢ | -35.99 | $17.3 | |
| 1h | 0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715 | No / 49.0¢ | -13.53 | $6.63 | |
| 1h | 0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715 | No / 48.0¢ | -7.73 | $3.71 | |
| 1h | bghsdg | Yes / 49.6¢ | -27.48 | $13.6 | |
| 1h | rocky42016 | No / 49.0¢ | -3.42 | $1.68 | |
| 1h | 0xC9aF414fC65a46dEb62AF26F75799bFAF53F91e5-1779763576505 | No / 48.0¢ | -2.80 | $1.34 | |
| 2h | DeepDitch | No / 42.3¢ | -0.18 | $0.08 | |
| 2h | 0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715 | No / 44.0¢ | +0.18 | $0.08 | |
| 4h | dfdfed | Yes / 56.0¢ | -5.41 | $3.03 | |
| 4h | iliabouchouev | No / 42.3¢ | -5.41 | $2.29 | |
| 4h | 0xC9aF414fC65a46dEb62AF26F75799bFAF53F91e5-1779763576505 | No / 48.0¢ | -2.20 | $1.06 | |
| 4h | dfdfed | Yes / 50.3¢ | -2.20 | $1.11 | |
| 5h | thepolwinner | No / 45.0¢ | -9.67 | $4.35 | |
| 5h | thepolwinner | No / 45.0¢ | -9.67 | $4.35 | |
| 5h | thepolwinner | No / 45.0¢ | -8.98 | $4.04 | |
| 5h | thepolwinner | No / 45.0¢ | -9.67 | $4.35 | |
| 5h | 0xf22b...647eab | No / 45.0¢ | +37.99 | $17.8 | |
| 5h | dfdfed | Yes / 55.0¢ | +9.63 | $5.3 | |
| 5h | DeepDitch | No / 46.0¢ | -15.36 | $7.07 | |
| 5h | benguezmen | No / 45.6¢ | +24.99 | $11.8 | |
| 5h | rocky42016 | No / 45.0¢ | +128.00 | $57.6 | |
| 5h | yooo132758 | Yes / 60.0¢ | -120.00 | $72 |
1–25
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?
Yes 57%$1.66Kvolume
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
No 69%$18.6Kvolume
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?
No 97%$69.5Kvolume
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Yes 79%$6.19Kvolume
Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch?
No 65%$454volume
Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Yes 58%$783volume