| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? NoPolitics 1,462.50 shares | 49.5¢ / 59.0¢ | $156 (14.7%) | $1.06K · 4 | $357 · 3 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 2:35 AM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? YesPolitics 3,180.08 shares | 63.2¢ / 64.0¢ | $23.9 (1.2%) | $2.01K · 6 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 2:35 AM | |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? YesPolitics 1,300.00 shares | 60.4¢ / 63.0¢ | $34 (4.3%) | $785 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 2:35 AM | |
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? NoPolitics 1,692.00 shares | 91.4¢ / 96.6¢ | $87.6 (5.7%) | $1.55K · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 2:34 AM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? YesPolitics 2,289.36 shares | 47.3¢ / 47.0¢ | -$3.45 (-0.3%) | $1.1K · 6 | $22.6 · 4 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 2:33 AM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? YesPolitics 4,377.31 shares | 24.3¢ / 28.0¢ | $148 (11.3%) | $1.31K · 18 | $230 · 1 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 2:16 AM | |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? NoPolitics 546.64 shares | 79.0¢ / 87.0¢ | $43.7 (10.1%) | $432 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 2:14 AM | |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31? NoPolitics 600.00 shares | 67.0¢ / 98.3¢ | $188 (46.7%) | $402 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 2:12 AM | |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? NoPolitics 2,683.38 shares | 77.5¢ / 96.8¢ | $518 (24.9%) | $2.08K · 8 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 2:10 AM | |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? YesPolitics 798.33 shares | 76.5¢ / 89.0¢ | $100 (16.4%) | $611 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 2:01 AM | |
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31? NoPolitics 100.00 shares | 92.4¢ / 99.9¢ | $7.5 (8.1%) | $92.4 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:50 AM | |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31,… NoPolitics 119.13 shares | 92.0¢ / 92.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | $110 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:43 AM | |
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? NoPolitics 944.18 shares | 70.6¢ / 79.0¢ | $106 (6.9%) | $1.55K · 6 | $911 · 2 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:26 AM | |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? YesPolitics 400.00 shares | 52.0¢ / 25.0¢ | -$108 (-51.9%) | $208 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:20 AM | |
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 31, 2026? NoPolitics 28.99 shares | 82.9¢ / 71.9¢ | -$3.19 (-13.3%) | $24 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 12:50 AM | |
 Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 180.31 shares | 94.2¢ / 96.9¢ | $4.87 (2.9%) | $170 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 11:35 PM | |
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 857.58 shares | 77.5¢ / 86.0¢ | $72.6 (10.9%) | $665 · 21 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 11:35 PM | |
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 1,331.72 shares | 82.4¢ / 83.0¢ | $8.32 (0.8%) | $1.1K · 14 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 11:31 PM | |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? NoPolitics 2,234.17 shares | 58.3¢ / 78.3¢ | $448 (34.5%) | $1.3K · 20 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 10:45 PM | |
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 1,255.38 shares | 58.1¢ / 95.0¢ | $625 (63.1%) | $991 · 94 | $423 · 30 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 9:46 AM | |
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026? NoPolitics 40.00 shares | 85.0¢ / 89.0¢ | $1.6 (4.7%) | $34 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 8:53 AM | |
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 6, 2026? NoPolitics 56.34 shares | 84.0¢ / 90.0¢ | $3.38 (7.1%) | $47.3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 7:02 AM | |
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? YesPolitics 200.00 shares | 30.0¢ / 27.0¢ | -$6 (-10.0%) | $60 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 5:37 AM | |
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 1, 2026? NoPolitics 20.00 shares | 85.1¢ / 72.7¢ | -$2.48 (-14.6%) | $17 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 3:06 AM | |
 China ballistic missile launch by December 31? YesPolitics 137.07 shares | 16.0¢ / 19.0¢ | $4.11 (18.8%) | $21.9 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:15 PM |
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