| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Greece Yes 7.22 net shares | 28.7¢ / 5.8¢ | -$0.83 (-79.7%) | May 11, 2026 8:54 PM | |
 Alphabet Yes 0.02 net shares | 10.8¢ / 2.8¢ | -$0 (-74.2%) | May 11, 2026 5:36 PM | |
 Finland Yes 4.57 net shares | 45.0¢ / 49.1¢ | $0.09 (8.9%) | May 9, 2026 5:09 PM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 3.85 net shares | 52.0¢ / 71.0¢ | $0.37 (36.5%) | May 9, 2026 5:04 PM | |
 May 31 No 2.63 net shares | 76.0¢ / 88.0¢ | $0.16 (15.8%) | May 9, 2026 5:04 PM | |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 73.47 net shares | 8.5¢ / 6.9¢ | -$0.31 (-19.6%) | May 9, 2026 4:56 PM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No -1.49 net shares | 67.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (49.1%) | Apr 17, 2026 1:57 PM | |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? No 2.41 net shares | 83.0¢ / 94.0¢ | $0.13 (13.3%) | Apr 13, 2026 8:57 PM | |
 April 30 Yes 3.92 net shares | 51.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | Apr 13, 2026 8:57 PM | |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No 1.64 net shares | 61.0¢ / 69.2¢ | $0.13 (13.4%) | Apr 3, 2026 11:08 AM | |
 June 30 Yes 1.82 net shares | 55.0¢ / 8.0¢ | -$0.85 (-85.5%) | Apr 3, 2026 10:59 AM | |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? No 1.49 net shares | 67.0¢ / 70.0¢ | $0.04 (4.5%) | Mar 25, 2026 7:57 PM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 1.28 net shares | 78.0¢ / 95.0¢ | $0.22 (21.8%) | Mar 25, 2026 7:55 PM | |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 2.57 net shares | 39.0¢ / 18.0¢ | -$0.54 (-53.8%) | Mar 25, 2026 7:55 PM | |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No 7.47 net shares | 80.3¢ / 87.0¢ | $0.5 (8.3%) | Mar 23, 2026 11:40 PM | |
 1 (25 bps) Yes 7.14 net shares | 28.0¢ / 16.0¢ | -$0.43 (-42.9%) | Mar 23, 2026 11:38 PM | |
0 (0 bps) Yes 7.78 net shares | 25.7¢ / 67.9¢ | $1.64 (164.2%) | Mar 23, 2026 11:38 PM | |
3 (75 bps) Yes 0.01 net shares | 28.0¢ / 2.0¢ | -$0 (-92.9%) | Mar 15, 2026 9:50 PM | |
 5.0% Yes 15.43 net shares | 38.9¢ / 28.0¢ | -$1.68 (-28.0%) | Mar 8, 2026 1:03 PM | |
5.5% Yes 2.94 net shares | 34.0¢ / 13.9¢ | -$0.59 (-59.1%) | Mar 8, 2026 1:03 PM | |
 December 31 Yes 5.00 net shares | 20.0¢ / 12.4¢ | -$0.38 (-37.9%) | Mar 1, 2026 10:32 PM | |
 December 31, 2026 No 2.48 net shares | 80.8¢ / 72.1¢ | -$0.22 (-10.8%) | Feb 18, 2026 10:15 PM | |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Yes 2.86 net shares | 70.0¢ / 67.0¢ | -$0.09 (-4.3%) | Feb 18, 2026 10:11 PM | |
2 (50 bps) Yes 15.38 net shares | 26.0¢ / 6.0¢ | -$1.54 (-76.9%) | Feb 7, 2026 1:02 AM | |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? Yes 6.10 net shares | 82.0¢ / 61.0¢ | -$1.28 (-25.6%) | Feb 7, 2026 12:54 AM |
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