OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
ActiveVolume
$78K
Txns
3,371
Traders
504
Fees
$71
Liquidity
$9,139
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$78K
Txns
3,371
Traders
504
Fees
$71
Liquidity
$9,139
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.15Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 85%$1.82Mvolume
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
No 82%$59.3Kvolume
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Yes 83%$51.5Kvolume
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 100%$634Kvolume
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
No 96%$225Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | 0x487c617Bb141D5755A67B6D505aDFcDae48576C9-1778262004643 | Yes / 11.6¢ | -118.04 | $13.7 | |
| 3h | Drunken-Mentat | No / 88.0¢ | -118.04 | $104 | |
| 1d | cheesymm | Yes / 13.0¢ | -10.31 | $1.34 | |
| 1d | cheesymm | Yes / 13.0¢ | -7.66 | $1 | |
| 1d | Snuffles5 | No / 86.5¢ | -37.97 | $32.9 | |
| 1d | cheesymm | Yes / 13.0¢ | -20.00 | $2.6 | |
| 2d | cheesymm | Yes / 13.0¢ | -9.68 | $1.26 | |
| 2d | aYolo | Yes / 13.0¢ | +76.92 | $10.3 | |
| 2d | cheesymm | Yes / 13.0¢ | -67.24 | $8.74 | |
| 3d | 0x1192...30a9f5 | Yes / 11.5¢ | -15.38 | $1.77 | |
| 3d | Drunken-Mentat | No / 88.0¢ | -15.38 | $13.5 | |
| 4d | Drunken-Mentat | No / 88.0¢ | -22.73 | $20 | |
| 4d | 0xA8241592b1BEcc36f2889327D903F3885328Aa06-1780738295747 | No / 88.0¢ | +22.73 | $20.1 | |
| 4d | cheesymm | Yes / 13.0¢ | -1.24 | $0.16 | |
| 4d | elpatrondelaciudad | No / 86.5¢ | -1.24 | $1.07 | |
| 4d | elpatrondelaciudad | No / 88.0¢ | +1.38 | $1.22 | |
| 4d | Drunken-Mentat | No / 88.0¢ | -1.38 | $1.21 | |
| 5d | 0x9882...eeace9 | Yes / 13.0¢ | +15.38 | $2.09 | |
| 5d | cheesymm | Yes / 13.0¢ | -15.38 | $2 | |
| 5d | 0xA8241592b1BEcc36f2889327D903F3885328Aa06-1780738295747 | No / 88.0¢ | +11.36 | $10 | |
| 5d | Drunken-Mentat | No / 88.0¢ | -11.36 | $10 | |
| 5d | wen0 | Yes / 11.6¢ | -13.40 | $1.55 | |
| 5d | Drunken-Mentat | No / 88.0¢ | -13.40 | $11.8 | |
| 6d | 0x1192...30a9f5 | Yes / 13.0¢ | +15.38 | $2.08 | |
| 6d | cheesymm | Yes / 13.0¢ | -15.38 | $2 |
1–25