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![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? YesPolitics 1,156.16 shares | 61.0¢ / 52.0¢ | -$89.3 (-8.7%) | $1.03K · 111 | $341 · 33 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 11:34 PM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? YesPolitics 1,439.96 shares | 32.6¢ / 19.0¢ | -$213 (-36.2%) | $589 · 114 | $102 · 18 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 11:34 PM | |
![]() No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? NoEconomics 70.00 shares | 6.0¢ / 0.8¢ | -$3.64 (-86.7%) | $4.2 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 11:30 PM | |
![]() NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 160.00 shares | 72.6¢ / 74.0¢ | $2.2 (1.9%) | $116 · 6 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 11:28 PM | |
![]() Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026… YesPolitics 859.93 shares | 3.2¢ / 2.5¢ | -$6.43 (-23.0%) | $27.8 · 37 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 11:27 PM | |
![]() Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026… NoPolitics 1,996.42 shares | 40.8¢ / 47.0¢ | $123 (15.1%) | $814 · 95 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 11:18 PM | |
![]() Will RealReal (REAL) beat quarterly earnings? YesFinance 39.00 shares | 64.8¢ / 9.0¢ | -$21.8 (-86.1%) | $24.8 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 11:05 PM | |
![]() NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? NoPolitics 20.00 shares | 89.3¢ / 89.0¢ | -$0.05 (-0.3%) | $17.9 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 10:57 PM | |
![]() Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? NoPolitics 40.00 shares | 65.0¢ / 66.0¢ | $0.4 (1.5%) | $26 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 10:57 PM | |
![]() Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? NoFinance 1,880.79 shares | 55.3¢ / 10.1¢ | -$815 (-55.3%) | $1.47K · 117 | $470 · 13 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 10:53 PM | |
![]() Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? NoPolitics 183.60 shares | 65.9¢ / 76.0¢ | $19.5 (5.8%) | $337 · 22 | $217 · 8 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 10:50 PM | |
![]() Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? YesPolitics 3,645.09 shares | 36.3¢ / 5.5¢ | -$1.21K (-84.3%) | $1.44K · 176 | $25.7 · 5 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 10:45 PM | |
![]() Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? NoPolitics 75.00 shares | 76.4¢ / 78.3¢ | $1.45 (2.5%) | $57.3 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 10:45 PM | |
![]() Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? YesFinance 924.23 shares | 20.4¢ / 2.2¢ | -$120 (-53.3%) | $224 · 46 | $84.7 · 4 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 10:44 PM | |
![]() Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? YesPolitics 2,480.41 shares | 68.9¢ / 9.6¢ | -$1.48K (-85.5%) | $1.73K · 123 | $14.5 · 2 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 10:44 PM | |
![]() Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings? YesFinance 40.10 shares | 69.1¢ / 92.0¢ | $9.19 (33.2%) | $27.3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 10:32 PM | |
![]() US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? YesTech 168.00 shares | 25.1¢ / 10.0¢ | -$25.4 (-60.2%) | $41.4 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 10:31 PM | |
![]() Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? YesPolitics 239.52 shares | 8.6¢ / 10.8¢ | $5.33 (25.9%) | $20.6 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 10:31 PM | |
![]() Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026… YesPolitics 170.00 shares | 1.6¢ / 1.1¢ | -$0.93 (-33.2%) | $2.8 · 6 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 9:57 PM | |
![]() Will Exxon Mobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings? NoFinance 100.00 shares | 14.6¢ / 16.0¢ | $1.38 (9.5%) | $14.1 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 9:45 PM | |
![]() Fed rate hike in 2026? NoEconomics 6,492.44 shares | 44.8¢ / 34.0¢ | -$700 (-24.1%) | $2.88K · 203 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 9:33 PM | |
![]() Will Chime Financial (CHYM) beat quarterly earnings? YesFinance 115.00 shares | 64.2¢ / 71.0¢ | $7.86 (10.7%) | $72.5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 9:31 PM | |
![]() Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings? YesFinance 84.00 shares | 41.2¢ / 74.7¢ | $28.1 (81.3%) | $33.6 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 9:31 PM | |
![]() 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House YesPolitics 287.94 shares | 36.3¢ / 43.0¢ | $29.9 (12.1%) | $245 · 20 | $153 · 4 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 9:28 PM | |
![]() Will Moderna (MRNA) beat quarterly earnings? YesFinance 58.00 shares | 72.0¢ / 98.0¢ | $15.1 (36.1%) | $41.2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 9:11 PM |
1–25
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? WonYesPolitics | 29.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.05K (33.6%) | $3.13K · 547 | $4.18K · 387 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 1:24 AM | |
![]() Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? WonNoPolitics | 69.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $721 (27.6%) | $2.61K · 507 | $1.01K · 90 | $0 | Apr 11, 2026 8:29 AM | |
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? WonYesPolitics | 43.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $701 (19.1%) | $3.66K · 450 | $4.36K · 368 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 1:27 AM | |
15.3¢ / 0.0¢ | $507 (38.7%) | $1.31K · 216 | $1.82K · 236 | $0 | Apr 20, 2026 7:54 AM | ||
![]() Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 63.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $492 (30.7%) | $1.6K · 292 | $1.35K · 120 | $0 | Apr 16, 2026 6:57 AM | |
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? WonYesPolitics | 56.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $472 (15.2%) | $3.11K · 353 | $3.58K · 265 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 9:26 AM | |
![]() Will Trump visit China by May 31? WonYesPolitics | 59.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $374 (30.7%) | $1.22K · 109 | $1.59K · 84 | $0 | May 13, 2026 4:21 PM | |
7.7¢ / 0.0¢ | $341 (441.7%) | $77.1 · 43 | $17.8 · 10 | $400 | Apr 13, 2026 9:18 AM | ||
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? WonYesPolitics | 64.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $287 (14.3%) | $2K · 174 | $2.29K · 139 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 1:22 AM | |
![]() Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? WonNoPolitics | 50.0¢ / 88.2¢ | $285 (39.2%) | $727 | $654 · 16 | $358 | Mar 1, 2026 11:19 AM | |
![]() Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 38.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $244 (37.6%) | $648 · 129 | $891 · 110 | $0 | Apr 16, 2026 8:07 PM | |
59.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $222 (69.2%) | $320 · 23 | $0 | $0 | Mar 16, 2026 9:42 AM | ||
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by May 15? WonYesPolitics | 70.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $215 (36.7%) | $586 · 86 | $800 · 18 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 1:31 AM | |
62.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $211 (27.0%) | $780 · 136 | $991 · 60 | $0 | Jun 21, 2026 3:45 PM | ||
![]() Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? WonYesFinance | 19.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $195 (272.1%) | $71.8 · 2 | $0 | $100 | Apr 23, 2026 6:52 AM | |
![]() Will Trump visit China by June 30? WonYesPolitics | 68.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $194 (16.5%) | $1.18K · 74 | $1.36K · 59 | $0 | May 14, 2026 12:02 PM | |
![]() US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? WonYesPolitics | 45.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $185 (23.2%) | $799 · 92 | $984 · 77 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 2:49 AM | |
75.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $172 (28.8%) | $598 · 74 | $63.3 · 2 | $0 | Apr 21, 2026 4:30 PM | ||
![]() US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? WonYesPolitics | 22.4¢ / 0.0¢ | $168 (58.0%) | $290 · 64 | $347 · 47 | $111 | May 1, 2026 7:01 AM | |
80.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $162 (22.0%) | $737 · 74 | $275 · 4 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:02 PM | ||
![]() US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? WonYesPolitics | 29.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $123 (20.2%) | $609 · 110 | $732 · 96 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 4:50 AM | |
![]() Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30? WonYesPolitics | 61.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $111 (32.0%) | $348 · 52 | $459 · 24 | $0 | Apr 13, 2026 10:23 AM | |
![]() Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? WonYesPolitics | 30.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $107 (217.1%) | $49.1 · 6 | $53.9 · 5 | $0 | May 14, 2026 12:02 PM | |
![]() Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings? WonYesFinance | 68.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $107 (41.1%) | $256 · 11 | $28.6 · 2 | $0 | Jul 21, 2026 12:37 PM | |
28.1¢ / 0.0¢ | $100 (42.3%) | $236 · 59 | $336 · 52 | $0 | Apr 24, 2026 7:21 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
522
Won
296
Lost
126
Win Rate
70.1%
Profit Factor
1.04x
Avg Win
$40.6
Avg Loss
-$91.6
Total Wins
$12K
Total Losses
-$11.5K
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield