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| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? WonYesPolitics | 29.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.05K (33.6%) | $3.13K · 547 | $4.18K · 387 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 1:24 AM | |
![]() Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? WonNoPolitics | 69.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $721 (27.6%) | $2.61K · 507 | $1.01K · 90 | $0 | Apr 11, 2026 8:29 AM | |
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? WonYesPolitics | 43.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $701 (19.1%) | $3.66K · 450 | $4.36K · 368 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 1:27 AM | |
15.3¢ / 0.0¢ | $507 (38.7%) | $1.31K · 216 | $1.82K · 236 | $0 | Apr 20, 2026 7:54 AM | ||
![]() Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 63.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $492 (30.7%) | $1.6K · 292 | $1.35K · 120 | $0 | Apr 16, 2026 6:57 AM | |
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? WonYesPolitics | 56.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $472 (15.2%) | $3.11K · 353 | $3.58K · 265 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 9:26 AM | |
![]() Will Trump visit China by May 31? WonYesPolitics | 59.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $374 (30.7%) | $1.22K · 109 | $1.59K · 84 | $0 | May 13, 2026 4:21 PM | |
7.7¢ / 0.0¢ | $341 (441.7%) | $77.1 · 43 | $17.8 · 10 | $400 | Apr 13, 2026 9:18 AM | ||
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? WonYesPolitics | 64.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $287 (14.3%) | $2K · 174 | $2.29K · 139 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 1:22 AM | |
![]() Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? WonNoPolitics | 50.0¢ / 88.2¢ | $285 (39.2%) | $727 | $654 · 16 | $358 | Mar 1, 2026 11:19 AM | |
![]() Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 38.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $244 (37.6%) | $648 · 129 | $891 · 110 | $0 | Apr 16, 2026 8:07 PM | |
59.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $222 (69.2%) | $320 · 23 | $0 | $0 | Mar 16, 2026 9:42 AM | ||
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by May 15? WonYesPolitics | 70.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $215 (36.7%) | $586 · 86 | $800 · 18 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 1:31 AM | |
62.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $211 (27.0%) | $780 · 136 | $991 · 60 | $0 | Jun 21, 2026 3:45 PM | ||
![]() Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? WonYesFinance | 19.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $195 (272.1%) | $71.8 · 2 | $0 | $100 | Apr 23, 2026 6:52 AM | |
![]() Will Trump visit China by June 30? WonYesPolitics | 68.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $194 (16.5%) | $1.18K · 74 | $1.36K · 59 | $0 | May 14, 2026 12:02 PM | |
![]() US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? WonYesPolitics | 45.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $185 (23.2%) | $799 · 92 | $984 · 77 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 2:49 AM | |
75.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $172 (28.8%) | $598 · 74 | $63.3 · 2 | $0 | Apr 21, 2026 4:30 PM | ||
![]() US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? WonYesPolitics | 22.4¢ / 0.0¢ | $168 (58.0%) | $290 · 64 | $347 · 47 | $111 | May 1, 2026 7:01 AM | |
80.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $162 (22.0%) | $737 · 74 | $275 · 4 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:02 PM | ||
![]() US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? WonYesPolitics | 29.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $123 (20.2%) | $609 · 110 | $732 · 96 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 4:50 AM | |
![]() Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30? WonYesPolitics | 61.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $111 (32.0%) | $348 · 52 | $459 · 24 | $0 | Apr 13, 2026 10:23 AM | |
![]() Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? WonYesPolitics | 30.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $107 (217.1%) | $49.1 · 6 | $53.9 · 5 | $0 | May 14, 2026 12:02 PM | |
![]() Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings? WonYesFinance | 68.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $107 (41.1%) | $256 · 11 | $28.6 · 2 | $0 | Jul 21, 2026 12:37 PM | |
28.1¢ / 0.0¢ | $100 (42.3%) | $236 · 59 | $336 · 52 | $0 | Apr 24, 2026 7:21 AM |
1–25
| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026… NoPolitics 1,996.42 shares | 40.8¢ / 47.0¢ | $123 (15.1%) | $814 · 95 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 2:12 AM | |
![]() NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? NoPolitics 20.00 shares | 89.3¢ / 92.7¢ | $0.69 (3.9%) | $17.9 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 2:09 AM | |
![]() Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? NoPolitics 534.27 shares | 53.3¢ / 17.3¢ | -$192 (-67.5%) | $285 · 40 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 2:09 AM | |
![]() Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? NoFinance 1,880.79 shares | 55.3¢ / 10.1¢ | -$814 (-55.2%) | $1.47K · 117 | $470 · 13 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 2:08 AM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? YesPolitics 1,439.96 shares | 32.6¢ / 18.0¢ | -$228 (-38.6%) | $589 · 114 | $102 · 18 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 2:02 AM | |
![]() Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? NoPolitics 183.60 shares | 65.9¢ / 75.0¢ | $17.6 (5.2%) | $337 · 22 | $217 · 8 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 2:02 AM | |
![]() Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026… YesPolitics 170.00 shares | 1.6¢ / 1.0¢ | -$1.18 (-42.3%) | $2.8 · 6 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 2:02 AM | |
![]() Will Moderna (MRNA) beat quarterly earnings? YesFinance 58.00 shares | 72.0¢ / 84.0¢ | $6.94 (16.6%) | $41.2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 2:01 AM | |
![]() Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? YesPolitics 2,593.21 shares | 23.4¢ / 2.2¢ | -$613 (-89.1%) | $688 · 155 | $17.7 · 11 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:57 AM | |
![]() Will Exxon Mobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings? NoFinance 100.00 shares | 14.6¢ / 9.0¢ | -$5.62 (-38.4%) | $14.1 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:54 AM | |
![]() Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings? YesFinance 62.00 shares | 83.7¢ / 95.9¢ | $7.56 (14.6%) | $51.5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:52 AM | |
![]() Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings? YesFinance 39.99 shares | 48.2¢ / 51.0¢ | $1.1 (5.7%) | $18.8 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:50 AM | |
![]() Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? YesFinance 924.23 shares | 20.4¢ / 2.1¢ | -$121 (-53.7%) | $224 · 46 | $84.7 · 4 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:50 AM | |
![]() No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? NoEconomics 70.00 shares | 6.0¢ / 0.3¢ | -$3.99 (-95.0%) | $4.2 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:48 AM | |
![]() Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026… YesPolitics 859.93 shares | 3.2¢ / 2.4¢ | -$7.29 (-26.1%) | $27.8 · 37 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:35 AM | |
![]() Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings? YesFinance 84.00 shares | 41.2¢ / 75.1¢ | $28.5 (82.3%) | $33.6 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:35 AM | |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 me… NoEconomics 735.99 shares | 75.7¢ / 78.0¢ | $16.8 (3.0%) | $557 · 40 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:15 AM | |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 me… YesEconomics 604.99 shares | 8.2¢ / 6.7¢ | -$9.38 (-18.8%) | $49.4 · 8 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:11 AM | |
![]() NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 160.00 shares | 72.6¢ / 74.0¢ | $2.2 (1.9%) | $116 · 6 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:04 AM | |
![]() Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 64.99 shares | 62.8¢ / 70.0¢ | $4.67 (11.4%) | $40.5 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:02 AM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? YesPolitics 1,156.16 shares | 61.0¢ / 52.0¢ | -$89.3 (-8.7%) | $1.03K · 111 | $341 · 33 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:02 AM | |
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026… YesEconomics 88.12 shares | 0.2¢ / 0.2¢ | -$0.01 (-4.8%) | $0.18 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 12:48 AM | |
![]() Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? YesPolitics 239.52 shares | 8.6¢ / 9.0¢ | $1 (4.8%) | $20.6 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 12:17 AM | |
![]() Will Chime Financial (CHYM) beat quarterly earnings? YesFinance 115.00 shares | 64.2¢ / 61.1¢ | -$3.49 (-4.7%) | $72.5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 12:14 AM | |
![]() Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? NoPolitics 40.00 shares | 65.0¢ / 63.0¢ | -$0.8 (-3.1%) | $26 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 12:11 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
522
Won
296
Lost
126
Win Rate
70.1%
Profit Factor
1.04x
Avg Win
$40.6
Avg Loss
-$91.6
Total Wins
$12K
Total Losses
-$11.5K
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield