| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No 448.43 net shares | 75.4¢ / 78.0¢ | $0 (3.5%) | Jun 2, 2026 3:10 AM | |
 Cursor No 0.02 net shares | 15.9¢ / 12.0¢ | -$0 (-24.3%) | Jun 2, 2026 3:09 AM | |
 June 30 No 472.34 net shares | 94.0¢ / 96.0¢ | $9.02 (2.1%) | Jun 1, 2026 4:10 AM | |
 May 31 No 0.01 net shares | 88.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (13.6%) | Jun 1, 2026 4:09 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No 0.02 net shares | 79.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (26.6%) | Jun 1, 2026 4:08 AM | |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? No -222.22 net shares | 90.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (11.0%) | Jun 1, 2026 4:08 AM | |
 September 30 No 256.52 net shares | 92.3¢ / 95.0¢ | $3.47 (2.9%) | May 31, 2026 3:32 AM | |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes 370.37 net shares | 27.8¢ / 25.5¢ | -$0 (-8.1%) | May 31, 2026 3:30 AM | |
 Ebola pandemic in 2026? No 329.67 net shares | 91.4¢ / 93.0¢ | $2.62 (1.7%) | May 31, 2026 3:28 AM | |
 New pandemic in 2026? No 444.44 net shares | 90.0¢ / 90.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | May 31, 2026 3:26 AM | |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes 570.80 net shares | 70.1¢ / 69.0¢ | -$3.07 (-1.5%) | May 31, 2026 3:25 AM | |
 December 31, 2026 No 239.83 net shares | 84.1¢ / 57.0¢ | -$32.5 (-32.2%) | May 31, 2026 3:24 AM | |
 Donald Trump No 652.17 net shares | 92.4¢ / 93.0¢ | $2.06 (0.7%) | May 29, 2026 12:45 PM | |
December 31 No 370.37 net shares | 54.0¢ / 55.0¢ | $3.7 (1.9%) | May 22, 2026 7:54 AM | |
 June 30 No 44.61 net shares | 62.0¢ / 74.0¢ | $60.1 (19.4%) | May 4, 2026 9:05 AM | |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No 22.47 net shares | 89.0¢ / 93.0¢ | $0 (4.5%) | Apr 26, 2026 2:04 PM | |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? No 21.69 net shares | 92.2¢ / 92.2¢ | $0 (0.0%) | Apr 26, 2026 2:04 PM | |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 11.11 net shares | 90.0¢ / 91.0¢ | $2.31 (1.1%) | Apr 26, 2026 2:03 PM | |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No 22.99 net shares | 87.0¢ / 93.0¢ | $0 (6.9%) | Apr 26, 2026 2:03 PM | |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No 21.28 net shares | 94.0¢ / 94.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | Apr 26, 2026 2:03 PM | |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 21.57 net shares | 92.7¢ / 93.9¢ | $0.13 (1.3%) | Apr 26, 2026 2:02 PM | |
 December 31 No 25.00 net shares | 80.0¢ / 91.0¢ | $1.37 (13.7%) | Apr 26, 2026 2:00 PM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No 0.02 net shares | 73.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (36.8%) | Apr 26, 2026 1:42 PM | |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No 0.02 net shares | 32.4¢ / 59.0¢ | $0 (81.8%) | Apr 26, 2026 1:42 PM | |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 27.78 net shares | 72.0¢ / 82.0¢ | $0 (13.9%) | Apr 18, 2026 3:43 PM |
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