 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes 3,202.00 net shares | 15.0¢ / 11.0¢ | -$479 (-100.0%) | $352 3,202.00 shares | Apr 3, 2026 5:07 AM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? Yes 4,000.81 net shares | 26.0¢ / 7.0¢ | -$1.41K (-63.7%) | $280 4,000.82 shares | Apr 10, 2026 11:16 AM | |
 NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes 800.00 net shares | 15.0¢ / 13.0¢ | -$120 (-100.0%) | $104 800.00 shares | Apr 2, 2026 10:03 PM | |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes 1,632.18 net shares | 5.2¢ / 2.3¢ | -$118 (-69.7%) | $50.1 2,176.24 shares | Apr 26, 2026 2:17 PM | |
 China Yes 1,416.97 net shares | 11.2¢ / 4.5¢ | -$158 (-100.0%) | $31.9 708.48 shares | Apr 23, 2026 3:22 PM | |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes 388.80 net shares | 5.0¢ / 3.2¢ | -$33.3 (-61.6%) | $23.5 734.40 shares | Apr 26, 2026 2:16 PM | |
 June 30, 2026 Yes 587.41 net shares | 4.3¢ / 3.0¢ | -$25 (-100.0%) | $17.6 587.41 shares | Apr 2, 2026 10:27 PM | |
 Aleksandr Lukashenko Yes -180.43 net shares | 51.3¢ / 43.0¢ | $29.2 (17.5%) | $2.1 4.88 shares | Apr 17, 2026 7:47 AM | |
 Other EU country Yes 222.56 net shares | 18.2¢ / 0.9¢ | -$40.6 (-100.0%) | $1 111.28 shares | Feb 26, 2026 11:09 AM | |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? Yes 5.00 net shares | 20.0¢ / 19.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | $0.95 5.00 shares | Jan 18, 2026 5:34 PM | |
 December 31 No 1.39 net shares | 72.0¢ / 63.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | $0.87 1.39 shares | Feb 18, 2026 4:09 PM | |
 Switzerland Yes 525.21 net shares | 2.1¢ / 0.3¢ | -$11.5 (-58.5%) | $0.79 262.60 shares | Mar 14, 2026 5:22 PM | |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? Yes 4.00 net shares | 25.0¢ / 18.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | $0.72 4.00 shares | Jan 22, 2026 11:27 PM | |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? Yes 2.78 net shares | 36.0¢ / 25.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | $0.69 2.78 shares | Jan 24, 2026 3:40 PM | |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes 4.00 net shares | 25.0¢ / 16.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | $0.64 4.00 shares | Jan 18, 2026 5:36 PM | |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes 1.35 net shares | 74.0¢ / 47.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | $0.64 1.35 shares | Jan 23, 2026 8:40 PM | |
 Turkey Yes 80.00 net shares | 12.5¢ / 1.4¢ | -$10 (-100.0%) | $0.56 40.00 shares | Feb 28, 2026 2:33 PM | |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes 2.44 net shares | 41.0¢ / 20.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | $0.49 2.44 shares | Mar 19, 2026 3:21 PM | |
 June 30 Yes 1.54 net shares | 65.0¢ / 29.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | $0.45 1.54 shares | Mar 19, 2026 3:25 PM | |
 Belarus Yes 190.26 net shares | 2.9¢ / 0.4¢ | -$5.52 (-100.0%) | $0.38 95.13 shares | Feb 26, 2026 11:09 AM | |
 No meeting by June 30 No 4.45 net shares | 44.9¢ / 13.4¢ | -$2 (-100.0%) | $0.3 2.23 shares | Feb 26, 2026 11:08 AM | |
 European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Yes 3.03 net shares | 33.0¢ / 7.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | $0.21 3.03 shares | Jan 24, 2026 3:40 PM | |
 June 30 Yes 9.09 net shares | 11.0¢ / 2.0¢ | -$1 (-100.0%) | $0.18 9.09 shares | Jan 21, 2026 3:36 PM | |
 $150M Yes -1.08 net shares | 91.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.11 (111.5%) | $0.01 0.01 shares | Apr 17, 2026 7:45 AM | |
 Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? No -1.01 net shares | 97.3¢ / 97.0¢ | $0.98 (98.3%) | $0.01 0.01 shares | Apr 17, 2026 7:45 AM |
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