| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 June 30 Yes 4,066.67 net shares | 6.0¢ / 3.0¢ | -$61 (-50.0%) | Jun 3, 2026 8:54 AM | |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes 9,705.57 net shares | 4.4¢ / 2.4¢ | -$96.5 (-45.3%) | Jun 3, 2026 8:52 AM | |
 NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes 1,200.59 net shares | 15.7¢ / 8.0¢ | -$76.6 (-48.9%) | May 21, 2026 11:14 AM | |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes 1,679.58 net shares | 22.2¢ / 16.0¢ | -$52 (-27.9%) | May 12, 2026 7:31 AM | |
 Will Putin visit China by May 31? Yes 0.01 net shares | 80.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (24.3%) | May 12, 2026 7:21 AM | |
 China Yes 0.01 net shares | 6.7¢ / 0.1¢ | -$0 (-98.5%) | May 12, 2026 7:20 AM | |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? Yes 437.06 net shares | 16.2¢ / 17.0¢ | $1.25 (4.6%) | May 9, 2026 7:55 AM | |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? Yes 361.86 net shares | 17.4¢ / 9.0¢ | -$15.4 (-48.3%) | May 9, 2026 7:54 AM | |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? No 0.01 net shares | 95.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (5.3%) | May 9, 2026 7:45 AM | |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? Yes -4,000.81 net shares | 26.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (283.9%) | May 9, 2026 5:54 AM | |
 Aleksandr Lukashenko Yes -190.19 net shares | 51.3¢ / 42.0¢ | -$0 (-18.1%) | May 2, 2026 10:08 AM | |
 December 31 No -1.37 net shares | 72.0¢ / 75.0¢ | $0 (4.2%) | May 2, 2026 10:07 AM | |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes -2,720.30 net shares | 5.2¢ / 0.6¢ | -$0 (-88.4%) | Apr 30, 2026 6:54 PM | |
 Latvia Yes 0.00 net shares | 0.7¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | Apr 26, 2026 2:16 PM | |
 Lithuania Yes 0.02 net shares | 0.8¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | Apr 26, 2026 2:16 PM | |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -769.23 net shares | 7.8¢ / 7.8¢ | $0 (0.0%) | Apr 19, 2026 12:44 PM | |
 Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? No -1.01 net shares | 97.3¢ / 99.4¢ | $0 (2.1%) | Apr 17, 2026 7:45 AM | |
 $150M Yes -1.08 net shares | 91.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (9.9%) | Apr 17, 2026 7:45 AM | |
 Sweden Yes 0.01 net shares | 96.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (4.2%) | Apr 4, 2026 7:34 PM | |
 Denmark Yes 0.00 net shares | 95.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (5.3%) | Apr 4, 2026 7:34 PM | |
June 30 No 0.00 net shares | 78.0¢ / 95.7¢ | $0 (22.7%) | Apr 4, 2026 7:14 PM | |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No 0.00 net shares | 61.0¢ / 28.0¢ | -$0 (-54.1%) | Apr 4, 2026 7:13 PM | |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes 3,202.00 net shares | 15.0¢ / 12.0¢ | -$94.8 (-19.8%) | Apr 3, 2026 5:07 AM | |
 June 30, 2026 Yes 587.41 net shares | 4.3¢ / 0.7¢ | -$20.9 (-83.6%) | Apr 2, 2026 10:27 PM | |
 June 30 Yes 1.54 net shares | 65.0¢ / 9.0¢ | -$0.86 (-86.2%) | Mar 19, 2026 3:25 PM |
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