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![]() Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? YesPolitics 905.65 shares | 51.7¢ / 55.0¢ | $153 (9.0%) | $1.7K · 29 | $1.36K · 7 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:29 PM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? NoPolitics 400.00 shares | 74.7¢ / 72.1¢ | -$10.1 (-3.3%) | $306 · 5 | $7.59 · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:28 PM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? NoPolitics 299.85 shares | 59.1¢ / 55.0¢ | $2.42 (0.6%) | $412 · 12 | $249 · 3 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:26 PM | |
![]() US strike on Cuba by December 31? NoPolitics 500.00 shares | 62.0¢ / 69.0¢ | $35 (11.3%) | $310 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:23 PM | |
![]() US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? NoPolitics 1,999.75 shares | 99.0¢ / 99.7¢ | $13.4 (0.7%) | $1.98K · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:16 PM | |
![]() Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? YesPolitics 600.00 shares | 71.9¢ / 78.5¢ | -$3.2 (-0.6%) | $503 · 14 | $28.8 · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:13 PM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? YesPolitics 552.17 shares | 40.8¢ / 27.0¢ | -$76.3 (-33.9%) | $225 · 7 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:07 PM | |
![]() Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? YesPolitics 12,000.00 shares | 0.6¢ / 0.4¢ | -$30.9 (-40.1%) | $74 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:07 PM | |
![]() Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? NoPolitics 2,100.00 shares | 75.1¢ / 76.0¢ | -$68.5 (-3.7%) | $1.88K · 14 | $212 · 4 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:02 PM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? NoPolitics 499.99 shares | 87.3¢ / 97.8¢ | $86.9 (9.1%) | $960 · 12 | $558 · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:58 PM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? NoPolitics 100.00 shares | 95.0¢ / 99.6¢ | $4.6 (4.8%) | $95 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:51 PM | |
![]() US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 1,099.98 shares | 68.5¢ / 68.0¢ | -$6 (-0.8%) | $754 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:48 PM | |
![]() Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump? NoPolitics 100.00 shares | 91.0¢ / 99.5¢ | $8.5 (9.3%) | $91 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:45 PM | |
![]() Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? NoPolitics 1,100.38 shares | 55.1¢ / 37.0¢ | -$185 (-27.3%) | $675 · 45 | $83.4 · 8 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:36 PM | |
![]() Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? NoPolitics 1,000.00 shares | 96.8¢ / 99.4¢ | $26.5 (2.7%) | $968 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:26 PM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? YesPolitics 300.00 shares | 36.0¢ / 10.0¢ | -$78 (-72.2%) | $108 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:16 PM | |
![]() US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? NoPolitics 2,000.22 shares | 99.8¢ / 99.7¢ | -$1.7 (-0.1%) | $2K · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:14 PM | |
![]() Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? NoPolitics 700.00 shares | 78.2¢ / 75.3¢ | -$20.7 (-3.7%) | $551 · 6 | $3.25 · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 10:08 PM | |
![]() Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? NoPolitics 1,500.00 shares | 97.1¢ / 99.5¢ | $35.5 (2.4%) | $1.46K · 12 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 9:54 PM | |
![]() Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? NoPolitics 399.89 shares | 90.8¢ / 99.4¢ | $34.5 (9.5%) | $363 · 15 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 9:05 PM | |
![]() Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? YesPolitics 500.00 shares | 88.3¢ / 99.9¢ | $92.5 (9.5%) | $971 · 2 | $564 · 1 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 7:50 PM | |
![]() Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026… YesPolitics 1,199.69 shares | 42.3¢ / 12.0¢ | -$449 (-27.2%) | $1.65K · 17 | $1.06K · 3 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 7:47 PM | |
![]() Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? YesPolitics 49,999.76 shares | 0.7¢ / 0.4¢ | -$154 (-43.5%) | $344 · 57 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 7:43 PM | |
![]() US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? NoPolitics 400.00 shares | 85.0¢ / 85.1¢ | $0.2 (0.1%) | $340 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 7:11 PM | |
![]() Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? YesPolitics 1,000.00 shares | 3.0¢ / 2.3¢ | -$6.92 (-23.0%) | $29 · 8 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 4:06 PM |
1–25
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Israel military action against Iran before July? WonYesPolitics | 48.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.48K (34.8%) | $4.24K · 35 | $5.71K · 41 | $0 | Jun 13, 2025 3:25 AM | |
![]() Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January? WonYesPolitics | 46.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.28K (84.2%) | $1.52K · 39 | $2.8K · 7 | $0 | Jan 28, 2026 5:10 PM | |
84.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $743 (12.6%) | $5.91K · 106 | $4.4K · 21 | $0 | Jan 20, 2025 11:37 PM | ||
![]() U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? WonYesPolitics | 80.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $681 (20.9%) | $3.27K · 44 | $2.41K · 9 | $0 | Jan 23, 2026 8:56 PM | |
![]() Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January? WonYesPolitics | 64.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $633 (44.8%) | $1.41K · 44 | $1.33K · 5 | $0 | Jan 31, 2026 3:33 AM | |
![]() US x Iran ceasefire by May 15? WonYesPolitics | 62.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $573 (44.0%) | $1.3K · 7 | $1.87K · 11 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 1:31 AM | |
![]() Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? WonYesPolitics | 56.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $551 (37.8%) | $1.46K · 28 | $2.01K · 11 | $0 | Apr 25, 2026 12:35 AM | |
![]() Will Trump talk to Ahmed Al Shara in November? WonYesPolitics | 15.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $525 (515.5%) | $102 · 3 | $627 · 2 | $0 | Nov 10, 2025 11:34 PM | |
![]() Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June? WonNoPolitics | 84.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $498 (15.7%) | $3.17K · 30 | $1.98K · 10 | $0 | Jul 1, 2025 9:29 AM | |
![]() Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in November? WonYesPolitics | 11.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $495 (732.1%) | $67.6 · 6 | $563 · 3 | $0 | Nov 10, 2025 11:36 PM | |
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 42.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $458 (108.5%) | $422 · 6 | $880 · 1 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:35 AM | |
33.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $451 (158.6%) | $285 · 22 | $69.8 · 4 | $0 | May 9, 2025 7:39 PM | ||
5.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $446 (350.6%) | $127 · 29 | $573 · 10 | $0 | Jan 6, 2026 8:00 PM | ||
![]() Assad public appearance before 2025? WonNoPolitics | 78.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $442 (16.3%) | $2.72K · 21 | $1.75K · 13 | $0 | Jan 1, 2025 5:37 PM | |
39.1¢ / 0.0¢ | $413 (62.5%) | $660 · 14 | $1.07K · 8 | $0 | Jun 2, 2026 6:24 PM | ||
![]() Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024? WonNoPolitics | 49.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $407 (13.0%) | $3.13K · 156 | $3.54K · 23 | $0 | Dec 8, 2024 4:03 PM | |
![]() Israel military action against Iran by Friday? WonYesPolitics | 57.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $385 (65.0%) | $592 · 2 | $978 · 1 | $0 | Jun 13, 2025 3:20 AM | |
![]() Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? WonNoPolitics | 78.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $380 (26.3%) | $1.45K · 8 | $1.83K · 10 | $0 | Apr 30, 2025 7:58 AM | |
![]() Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31? WonNoPolitics | 88.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $380 (7.3%) | $5.21K · 73 | $4.85K · 60 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 8:09 AM | |
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 69.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $368 (35.1%) | $1.05K · 17 | $616 · 6 | $0 | May 1, 2026 12:34 PM | |
![]() Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 65.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $364 (37.2%) | $976 · 17 | $1.24K · 1 | $100 | Apr 16, 2026 8:07 PM | |
![]() Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? WonAlaskaPolitics | 63.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $350 (34.3%) | $1.02K · 7 | $1.37K · 5 | $0 | Dec 1, 2024 3:52 AM | |
![]() Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? WonYesPolitics | 74.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $331 (6.2%) | $5.36K · 43 | $5.31K · 24 | $0 | Jan 18, 2025 12:45 PM | |
80.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $325 (23.2%) | $1.4K · 21 | $979 · 5 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 2:15 PM | ||
7.6¢ / 0.0¢ | $319 (157.9%) | $202 · 9 | $521 · 11 | $0 | Nov 24, 2025 12:28 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
1427
Won
1023
Lost
356
Win Rate
74.2%
Profit Factor
2.32x
Avg Win
$48.7
Avg Loss
-$60.3
Total Wins
$49.9K
Total Losses
-$21.5K
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield