| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesPolitics 1,000.00 shares | 5.9¢ / 8.7¢ | $28 (47.5%) | $59 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:26 AM | |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? YesTech 682.89 shares | 61.9¢ / 83.6¢ | $348 (5.8%) | $5.89K · 24 | $3.49K · 16 | $2.26K | Jul 29, 2026 3:24 AM | |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? YesTech 332.14 shares | 9.0¢ / 19.1¢ | $580 (423.7%) | $124 · 49 | $654 · 2 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:22 AM | |
 Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? YesTech 1,807.79 shares | 1.6¢ / 0.1¢ | -$26.7 (-93.7%) | $27.6 · 16 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:57 AM | |
 Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? NoTech 3,663.46 shares | 40.6¢ / 2.4¢ | -$164 (-2.5%) | $6.46K · 60 | $545 · 7 | $5.79K | Jul 29, 2026 2:10 AM | |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? YesTech 500.00 shares | 97.2¢ / 99.7¢ | $12.5 (2.6%) | $486 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:01 AM | |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? YesTech 313.00 shares | 45.0¢ / 43.0¢ | -$3.13 (-1.1%) | $282 · 1 | $144 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:58 AM | |
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026? YesTech 4,108.33 shares | 56.3¢ / 0.6¢ | -$2.42K (-65.7%) | $3.64K · 12 | $75 · 4 | $1.16K | Jul 29, 2026 12:36 AM | |
 Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026? YesTech 759.99 shares | 31.3¢ / 99.8¢ | $520 (218.6%) | $238 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:17 AM | |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? YesTech 2,329.10 shares | 7.4¢ / 3.1¢ | -$153 (-46.7%) | $313 · 4 | $102 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:16 AM | |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026? YesTech 498.39 shares | 40.4¢ / 99.7¢ | $297 (146.9%) | $0 | $1.61 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 12:00 AM | |
 Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? YesPolitics 65.00 shares | 84.5¢ / 34.0¢ | -$34.6 (-58.4%) | $58.8 · 1 | $0 | $2.5 | Jul 28, 2026 11:56 PM | |
 Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026? YesTech 1,313.88 shares | 86.8¢ / 99.5¢ | -$1.18K (-20.5%) | $5.71K · 17 | $1.39K · 22 | $1.87K | Jul 28, 2026 11:53 PM | |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? YesPolitics 25.99 shares | 4.2¢ / 3.1¢ | -$0.27 (-25.4%) | $1.04 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 11:41 PM | |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? NoPolitics 431.00 shares | 68.7¢ / 86.0¢ | $148 (20.0%) | $739 · 10 | $457 · 2 | $60 | Jul 28, 2026 11:08 PM | |
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026? NoTech 141.61 shares | 44.6¢ / 0.6¢ | $855 (607.6%) | $942 · 3 | $0 | $439 | Jul 28, 2026 10:38 PM | |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? NoTech 335.53 shares | 82.3¢ / 71.8¢ | -$599 (-35.0%) | $1.7K · 11 | $0 | $871 | Jul 28, 2026 10:26 PM | |
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? YesTech 1.00 shares | 12.7¢ / 27.4¢ | $649 (292.9%) | $214 · 2 | $0 | $871 | Jul 28, 2026 10:26 PM | |
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam… YesTech 150.00 shares | 29.8¢ / 40.4¢ | $15.9 (35.5%) | $43.5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 8:51 PM | |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard deb… NoTech 832.58 shares | 7.5¢ / 10.8¢ | $216 (225.9%) | $95 · 8 | $0 | $222 | Jul 28, 2026 8:47 PM | |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? YesTech 21,930.31 shares | 0.3¢ / 0.2¢ | -$24.5 (-40.2%) | $60.3 · 131 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 8:26 PM | |
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? NoTech 5.04 shares | 78.8¢ / 72.3¢ | -$0.33 (-8.2%) | $3.94 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 8:19 PM | |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? YesTech 542.00 shares | 41.4¢ / 98.2¢ | $308 (137.4%) | $224 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 8:03 PM | |
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity… YesTech 802.15 shares | 73.0¢ / 90.5¢ | $27.5 (2.6%) | $1.06K · 1 | $89.5 · 2 | $283 | Jul 28, 2026 8:01 PM | |
 Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? YesTech 41.00 shares | 0.4¢ / 1.1¢ | $0.28 (164.5%) | $0.16 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 7:57 PM |
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