
Volume
$3K
Txns
156
Traders
47
Fees
$15
Liquidity
$7,854
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No 95%$0volume
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
No 55%$0volume
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
No 88%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 86%$0volume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 80%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12m | cryptedgor | No / 88.6¢ | -75.00 | $66.5 | |
| 12m | Dr.PNL | Yes / 11.0¢ | -75.00 | $8.25 | |
| 7h | Dr.PNL | Yes / 12.0¢ | -71.04 | $8.52 | |
| 7h | TraderProMax | Yes / 12.0¢ | -25.00 | $3 | |
| 7h | Mithrandir. | No / 88.0¢ | +93.96 | $82.7 | |
| 7h | hithitfar | No / 87.6¢ | -190.00 | $166 | |
| 7h | 15billionplus | No / 88.0¢ | +53.50 | $47.1 | |
| 7h | hithitfar | No / 87.6¢ | -53.50 | $46.9 | |
| 7h | predictdogepepewif | Yes / 10.0¢ | +50.00 | $5 | |
| 7h | hithitfar | No / 90.0¢ | +97.78 | $88.4 | |
| 7h | Dr.PNL | Yes / 10.0¢ | +47.78 | $4.78 | |
| 7h | Dr.PNL | Yes / 10.0¢ | +52.44 | $5.24 | |
| 7h | hithitfar | No / 90.0¢ | +52.44 | $47.4 | |
| 7h | Numitus1994 | Yes / 10.0¢ | +42.48 | $4.25 | |
| 7h | Dr.PNL | Yes / 10.0¢ | +7.51 | $0.75 | |
| 7h | ViscaElBarca | Yes / 9.6¢ | -49.99 | $4.82 | |
| 7h | Numitus1994 | Yes / 10.0¢ | +1.11 | $0.11 | |
| 7h | giochi | No / 90.0¢ | +1.11 | $1 | |
| 7h | Numitus1994 | Yes / 10.0¢ | +7.40 | $0.74 | |
| 7h | ViscaElBarca | Yes / 10.0¢ | +6.40 | $0.64 | |
| 7h | ViscaElBarca | Yes / 10.0¢ | +43.60 | $4.36 | |
| 7h | hithitfar | No / 90.0¢ | +51.00 | $46.1 | |
| 7h | predictdogepepewif | Yes / 10.0¢ | +50.00 | $5 | |
| 7h | wavesinthesky | Yes / 11.0¢ | +13.87 | $1.53 | |
| 7h | hithitfar | No / 89.8¢ | +70.27 | $63.4 |
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