
Volume
$8K
Txns
268
Traders
78
Fees
$59
Liquidity
$3,440
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
No 89%$0volume
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Yes 60%$0volume
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 83%$0volume
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
No 87%$0volume
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Yes 69%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | lll999 | Yes / 55.0¢ | -10.71 | $5.89 | |
| 1h | Noonoo123 | No / 43.0¢ | +44.92 | $19.3 | |
| 1h | iutwpfal | Yes / 56.8¢ | +134.50 | $77.8 | |
| 1h | HE110W0R1D | Yes / 57.0¢ | -50.00 | $28.5 | |
| 1h | rocky42016 | Yes / 72.0¢ | -1.87 | $1.35 | |
| 1h | planktonXD | No / 44.0¢ | +27.00 | $11.9 | |
| 1h | lll999 | Yes / 47.0¢ | +10.71 | $5.03 | |
| 1h | iutwpfal | No / 53.0¢ | +10.71 | $5.78 | |
| 1h | iutwpfal | No / 51.0¢ | +50.00 | $26 | |
| 1h | HE110W0R1D | Yes / 49.0¢ | +50.00 | $24.5 | |
| 1h | iutwpfal | Yes / 58.0¢ | +5.08 | $3 | |
| 1h | Noonoo123 | No / 42.0¢ | +5.08 | $2.13 | |
| 1h | iutwpfal | No / 48.0¢ | +17.07 | $8.36 | |
| 1h | RustyScissors | No / 48.0¢ | -17.07 | $8.19 | |
| 2h | iutwpfal | No / 43.0¢ | +300.00 | $132 | |
| 2h | rocky42016 | Yes / 57.0¢ | +300.00 | $171 | |
| 2h | iutwpfal | No / 43.0¢ | +50.00 | $22 | |
| 2h | Noonoo123 | Yes / 57.0¢ | +50.00 | $28.5 | |
| 2h | iutwpfal | Yes / 61.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.1 | |
| 2h | zxcursed121 | No / 39.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.95 | |
| 2h | vivi4024 | No / 42.0¢ | -60.00 | $25.2 | |
| 2h | iutwpfal | No / 42.0¢ | +60.00 | $25.8 | |
| 2h | planktonXD | No / 38.0¢ | -5.05 | $1.92 | |
| 2h | iutwpfal | No / 41.0¢ | +315.05 | $132 | |
| 2h | TomoX | No / 41.0¢ | -310.00 | $127 |
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