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| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? YesEconomics 50.00 shares | 45.0¢ / 42.8¢ | -$1.12 (-5.0%) | $22.5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 3:59 AM | |
![]() Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? NoSports 53.98 shares | 60.6¢ / 49.3¢ | -$1.72 (-0.6%) | $275 · 4 | $247 · 2 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 3:59 AM | |
![]() Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesSports 22.62 shares | 22.0¢ / 4.9¢ | -$3.88 (-77.9%) | $4.98 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 3:58 AM | |
![]() Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesSports 29.58 shares | 16.9¢ / 10.6¢ | -$1.86 (-37.3%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 3:54 AM | |
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? YesPolitics 0.10 shares | 51.4¢ / 35.0¢ | $2.44 (2.9%) | $84.8 · 6 | $87.2 · 8 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 3:53 AM | |
![]() Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m? NoCulture 89.51 shares | 28.6¢ / 19.0¢ | -$9.19 (-32.1%) | $28.5 · 3 | $2.39 · 3 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 3:53 AM | |
![]() US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? YesPolitics 200.00 shares | 44.0¢ / 45.0¢ | $2 (2.3%) | $88 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 3:46 AM | |
![]() Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? YesPolitics 10.40 shares | 38.5¢ / 22.1¢ | -$0.15 (-1.4%) | $10.8 · 3 | $3 · 1 | $5.33 | Jun 28, 2026 3:46 AM | |
![]() Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? NoPolitics 0.09 shares | 17.0¢ / 19.0¢ | $3.37 (34.9%) | $9.15 · 2 | $13 · 2 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 3:41 AM | |
![]() Fed rate hike in 2026? YesEconomics 8.18 shares | 61.0¢ / 53.0¢ | -$0.65 (-13.1%) | $4.99 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 3:39 AM | |
![]() Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? YesFinance 101.51 shares | 6.6¢ / 4.8¢ | -$1.83 (-27.3%) | $6.7 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 3:32 AM | |
![]() Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? YesPolitics 25.28 shares | 47.7¢ / 57.0¢ | $10.9 (28.4%) | $38.1 · 3 | $34.8 · 2 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 3:30 AM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? YesPolitics 21.13 shares | 67.7¢ / 62.0¢ | -$0.93 (-4.1%) | $22.8 · 2 | $8.73 · 1 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 3:10 AM | |
![]() Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? YesPolitics 37.18 shares | 38.0¢ / 34.0¢ | -$1.49 (-10.5%) | $14.1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 3:10 AM | |
![]() Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? YesPolitics 27.99 shares | 39.2¢ / 37.9¢ | -$0.36 (-3.3%) | $11 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 2:40 AM | |
![]() Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? YesPolitics 24.38 shares | 58.0¢ / 56.0¢ | -$0.48 (-3.4%) | $14.1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 1:49 AM | |
![]() Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? NoPolitics 15.64 shares | 50.0¢ / 51.0¢ | $0.2 (2.0%) | $10 · 1 | $2.22 · 2 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 1:41 AM | |
![]() Netanyahu out by end of 2026? YesPolitics 200.00 shares | 47.5¢ / 47.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | $190 · 4 | $96 · 4 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 1:33 AM | |
![]() Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? NoPolitics 32.31 shares | 6.2¢ / 2.1¢ | $19.4 (194.0%) | $10 · 2 | $5.82 · 1 | $22.9 | Jun 28, 2026 1:31 AM | |
11.0¢ / 1.0¢ | -$4.52 (-90.5%) | $5 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 1:15 AM | ||
![]() US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? Yes 0.06 shares | 22.0¢ / 20.0¢ | -$2.5 (-22.7%) | $11 · 1 | $8.49 · 1 | $0 | Jun 27, 2026 11:58 PM | |
![]() US strike on Cuba by December 31? YesPolitics 0.06 shares | 40.5¢ / 38.0¢ | -$0 (-0.0%) | $28.3 · 2 | $28.2 · 7 | $0 | Jun 27, 2026 10:10 PM | |
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YesPoliticsRedeemable 0.05 shares | 8.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $8.04 (11.5%) | $70 · 4 | $78 · 14 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:32 AM | |
![]() US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.08 shares | 12.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.57 (9.5%) | $6 · 1 | $6.49 · 1 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 10:23 PM |
1–24
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Iran closes its airspace by May 31? WonYesPolitics | 48.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $70 (36.5%) | $192 · 2 | $262 · 4 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 12:42 PM | |
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 33.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$2 (-4.0%) | $49.5 · 3 | $47.5 · 5 | $0 | Jun 14, 2026 12:19 AM | |
— / 76.0¢ | $30.2 | $0 | $30.2 · 1 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 2:45 AM | ||
50.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $27 (100.0%) | $27 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jun 26, 2026 5:12 AM | ||
![]() Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? WonYesPolitics | 33.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $25.6 (85.0%) | $30.1 · 2 | $16.5 · 1 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 5:45 PM | |
![]() US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China? WonYesPolitics | 14.2¢ / 0.0¢ | $21 (107.3%) | $19.6 · 9 | $11.3 · 1 | $29.4 | May 13, 2026 6:39 PM | |
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 63.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $19.1 (12.9%) | $148 · 2 | $167 · 2 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:32 AM | |
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 59.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $18 (1.7%) | $1.08K · 9 | $1.1K · 16 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:32 AM | |
![]() Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal? WonYesPolitics | 13.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $15.6 (225.2%) | $6.9 · 1 | $22.4 · 2 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:33 AM | |
70.4¢ / 98.6¢ | $14 (0.8%) | $1.69K · 14 | $1.7K · 13 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 3:50 AM | ||
— / 0.0¢ | $12.1 | $0 | $12.1 · 4 | $0 | Jun 3, 2026 2:06 AM | ||
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 39.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $10 (1.8%) | $552 · 7 | $562 · 7 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:32 AM | |
![]() Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? WonYesPolitics | 62.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $8.67 (61.3%) | $14.1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 5:43 PM | |
![]() Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May? WonNoFinance | 48.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $7.04 (28.8%) | $24 · 1 | $31.5 · 1 | $0 | May 29, 2026 10:20 PM | |
— / 42.0¢ | $6.6 (4445.5%) | $0 | $6.75 · 1 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 2:15 AM | ||
73.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $6 (16.4%) | $36.5 · 1 | $42.5 · 1 | $0 | May 24, 2026 6:05 AM | ||
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 91.4¢ / 0.0¢ | $5.85 (1.1%) | $535 · 4 | $541 · 6 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:32 AM | |
![]() Starmer out by December 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 33.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $5.44 (44.2%) | $12.3 · 7 | $1.76 · 1 | $16 | Jun 22, 2026 10:40 AM | |
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? WonYesPolitics | 4.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $5.23 (25.1%) | $20.8 · 2 | $26.1 · 2 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 10:23 PM | |
45.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.62 (25.7%) | $18 · 3 | $22.6 · 2 | $0 | Jun 9, 2026 11:29 AM | ||
23.1¢ / 0.2¢ | $4.3 (116.1%) | $3.7 · 3 | $0 | $8 | Jun 28, 2026 3:12 AM | ||
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 30.5¢ / 0.0¢ | $4 (3.3%) | $122 · 2 | $126 · 5 | $0 | May 27, 2026 6:11 AM | |
![]() Iran closes its airspace by May 31? WonNoPolitics | 61.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $4 (3.3%) | $122 · 3 | $126 · 1 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 10:23 PM | |
8.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $3.94 (235.5%) | $1.67 · 1 | $5.62 · 1 | $0 | Jun 21, 2026 2:02 PM | ||
![]() Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? WonYesPolitics | 44.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.78 (26.8%) | $14.1 · 14 | $12.6 · 2 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 11:56 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
179
Won
44
Lost
31
Win Rate
58.7%
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$4.2
Avg Loss
-$8.77
Total Wins
$185
Total Losses
-$272
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield