eldestboy +$1.56K PnL

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.05 shares	99.3¢ / 100.0¢	$6.27 (0.1%)	$5.57K · 127	$5.58K · 55	$0	Jan 27, 2026 7:09 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? WonNoPolitics	99.3¢ / 100.0¢	$2.95K (5.9%)	$49.9K · 264	$52.8K · 70	$0	Mar 18, 2026 9:19 PM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	98.6¢ / 100.0¢	$1.65K (1.3%)	$132K · 177	$134K · 181	$0	Apr 29, 2026 9:25 PM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	98.2¢ / 100.0¢	$1.62K (8.4%)	$19.3K · 80	$20.9K · 70	$0	Jun 17, 2026 9:07 PM
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? WonNoPolitics	98.5¢ / 100.0¢	$1.21K (4.7%)	$26K · 188	$27.2K · 138	$0	Jun 17, 2026 9:16 PM
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? WonNoPolitics	99.5¢ / 100.0¢	$514 (4.6%)	$11.2K · 267	$11.7K · 91	$0	Mar 4, 2026 8:14 PM
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February? WonNoFinance	99.4¢ / 100.0¢	$501 (26.6%)	$1.88K · 9	$2.39K · 6	$0	Jun 13, 2026 10:23 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? WonNoCrypto	— / 100.0¢	$500	$0	$500 · 1	$0	Jun 13, 2026 10:23 PM
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? WonNoPolitics	99.7¢ / 100.0¢	$203 (1.3%)	$15.2K · 55	$15.4K · 53	$0	Jun 17, 2026 9:20 PM
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	19.8¢ / 23.0¢	$184 (1.0%)	$17.8K · 312	$17.9K · 132	$0	Jun 28, 2026 10:10 AM
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League? WonNoSports	99.5¢ / 100.0¢	$155 (4.1%)	$3.76K · 88	$3.91K · 47	$0	Mar 21, 2026 11:29 PM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$135 (0.1%)	$111K · 178	$111K · 58	$0	Mar 18, 2026 9:07 PM
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? WonNoPolitics	94.5¢ / 100.0¢	$120 (0.6%)	$19.2K · 540	$19.4K · 287	$0	Mar 4, 2026 7:58 PM
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? WonNoPolitics	99.3¢ / 100.0¢	$105 (0.1%)	$94.3K · 117	$94.4K · 85	$0	Mar 18, 2026 9:19 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics	79.0¢ / 100.0¢	$51.8 (0.1%)	$43.4K · 307	$43K · 367	$0	Jun 18, 2026 7:29 AM
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? WonNoPolitics	97.6¢ / 100.0¢	$39.5 (0.2%)	$21.5K · 568	$21.5K · 227	$0	Jan 26, 2026 1:31 PM
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	97.5¢ / 100.0¢	$36.3 (0.2%)	$22.8K · 607	$22.8K · 194	$0	Jan 28, 2026 10:53 PM
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? WonNoPolitics	99.7¢ / 100.0¢	$19.6 (0.1%)	$20.2K · 150	$18.2K · 68	$0	Mar 5, 2026 7:21 AM
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? WonNoPolitics	99.1¢ / 100.0¢	$19 (0.2%)	$10K · 266	$10K · 137	$0	Feb 9, 2026 4:10 AM
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? WonYesPolitics	98.9¢ / 100.0¢	$16.2 (0.1%)	$15.1K · 151	$13.1K · 17	$0	Mar 5, 2026 7:21 AM
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? WonNoPolitics	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$14.4 (0.3%)	$5.36K · 170	$5.38K · 66	$0	Mar 4, 2026 8:14 PM
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? WonYesPolitics	94.8¢ / 100.0¢	$14 (0.3%)	$4.08K · 18	$4.1K · 8	$0	Feb 28, 2026 11:52 PM
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? WonNoSports	95.9¢ / 100.0¢	$12.4 (0.3%)	$4.35K · 104	$4.37K · 113	$0	Jan 19, 2026 6:53 AM
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? WonYesPolitics	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$11.7 (0.1%)	$13.7K · 12	$13.7K · 30	$0	Feb 28, 2026 9:16 AM
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026? WonNoPolitics	99.3¢ / 100.0¢	$11.6 (0.2%)	$6.98K · 164	$6.99K · 62	$0	Jan 18, 2026 7:16 AM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? WonNoFinance	99.3¢ / 100.0¢	$11.5 (0.1%)	$9.62K · 64	$9.63K · 84	$0	May 29, 2026 11:49 PM

					Merge
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.05 shares	99.3¢ / 100.0¢	$6.27 (0.1%)	$5.57K · 127	$5.58K · 55	$0	Jan 27, 2026 7:09 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? WonNoPolitics	99.3¢ / 100.0¢	$2.95K (5.9%)	$49.9K · 264	$52.8K · 70	$0	Mar 18, 2026 9:19 PM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	98.6¢ / 100.0¢	$1.65K (1.3%)	$132K · 177	$134K · 181	$0	Apr 29, 2026 9:25 PM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	98.2¢ / 100.0¢	$1.62K (8.4%)	$19.3K · 80	$20.9K · 70	$0	Jun 17, 2026 9:07 PM
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? WonNoPolitics	98.5¢ / 100.0¢	$1.21K (4.7%)	$26K · 188	$27.2K · 138	$0	Jun 17, 2026 9:16 PM
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? WonNoPolitics	99.5¢ / 100.0¢	$514 (4.6%)	$11.2K · 267	$11.7K · 91	$0	Mar 4, 2026 8:14 PM
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February? WonNoFinance	99.4¢ / 100.0¢	$501 (26.6%)	$1.88K · 9	$2.39K · 6	$0	Jun 13, 2026 10:23 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? WonNoCrypto	— / 100.0¢	$500	$0	$500 · 1	$0	Jun 13, 2026 10:23 PM
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? WonNoPolitics	99.7¢ / 100.0¢	$203 (1.3%)	$15.2K · 55	$15.4K · 53	$0	Jun 17, 2026 9:20 PM
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	19.8¢ / 23.0¢	$184 (1.0%)	$17.8K · 312	$17.9K · 132	$0	Jun 28, 2026 10:10 AM
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League? WonNoSports	99.5¢ / 100.0¢	$155 (4.1%)	$3.76K · 88	$3.91K · 47	$0	Mar 21, 2026 11:29 PM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$135 (0.1%)	$111K · 178	$111K · 58	$0	Mar 18, 2026 9:07 PM
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? WonNoPolitics	94.5¢ / 100.0¢	$120 (0.6%)	$19.2K · 540	$19.4K · 287	$0	Mar 4, 2026 7:58 PM
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? WonNoPolitics	99.3¢ / 100.0¢	$105 (0.1%)	$94.3K · 117	$94.4K · 85	$0	Mar 18, 2026 9:19 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics	79.0¢ / 100.0¢	$51.8 (0.1%)	$43.4K · 307	$43K · 367	$0	Jun 18, 2026 7:29 AM
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? WonNoPolitics	97.6¢ / 100.0¢	$39.5 (0.2%)	$21.5K · 568	$21.5K · 227	$0	Jan 26, 2026 1:31 PM
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	97.5¢ / 100.0¢	$36.3 (0.2%)	$22.8K · 607	$22.8K · 194	$0	Jan 28, 2026 10:53 PM
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? WonNoPolitics	99.7¢ / 100.0¢	$19.6 (0.1%)	$20.2K · 150	$18.2K · 68	$0	Mar 5, 2026 7:21 AM
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? WonNoPolitics	99.1¢ / 100.0¢	$19 (0.2%)	$10K · 266	$10K · 137	$0	Feb 9, 2026 4:10 AM
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? WonYesPolitics	98.9¢ / 100.0¢	$16.2 (0.1%)	$15.1K · 151	$13.1K · 17	$0	Mar 5, 2026 7:21 AM
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? WonNoPolitics	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$14.4 (0.3%)	$5.36K · 170	$5.38K · 66	$0	Mar 4, 2026 8:14 PM
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? WonYesPolitics	94.8¢ / 100.0¢	$14 (0.3%)	$4.08K · 18	$4.1K · 8	$0	Feb 28, 2026 11:52 PM
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? WonNoSports	95.9¢ / 100.0¢	$12.4 (0.3%)	$4.35K · 104	$4.37K · 113	$0	Jan 19, 2026 6:53 AM
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? WonYesPolitics	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$11.7 (0.1%)	$13.7K · 12	$13.7K · 30	$0	Feb 28, 2026 9:16 AM
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026? WonNoPolitics	99.3¢ / 100.0¢	$11.6 (0.2%)	$6.98K · 164	$6.99K · 62	$0	Jan 18, 2026 7:16 AM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? WonNoFinance	99.3¢ / 100.0¢	$11.5 (0.1%)	$9.62K · 64	$9.63K · 84	$0	May 29, 2026 11:49 PM

eldestboy +$1.56K PnL · Polymarket

PnL Calendar

June 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$29.1

Jun 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$29.1

Open$229

High$280

Low$175

Close$258

Open positions6

USD balance$1.27K

2-$12.3

Jun 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$12.3

Open$258

High$284

Low$210

Close$246

Open positions6

USD balance$38.9

3$4.31

Jun 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.31

Open$246

High$288

Low$170

Close$250

Open positions6

USD balance$43.9

4$4.67

Jun 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.67

Open$250

High$321

Low$211

Close$255

Open positions5

USD balance$957

5$69.6

Jun 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$69.6

Open$255

High$411

Low$149

Close$325

Open positions6

USD balance$1.22K

6-$516

Jun 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$516

Open$325

High$369

Low-$191

Close-$191

Open positions6

USD balance$313

7$219

Jun 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$219

Open-$191

High$69.7

Low-$204

Close$27.6

Open positions6

USD balance$422

8-$44

Jun 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$44

Open$27.6

High$27.6

Low-$151

Close-$16.4

Open positions5

USD balance$622

9$84.1

Jun 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$84.1

Open-$16.4

High$242

Low-$76.1

Close$67.7

Open positions6

USD balance$222

10-$122

Jun 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$122

Open$67.7

High$71.2

Low-$142

Close-$54.7

Open positions6

USD balance$1.23K

11$715

Jun 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$715

Open-$54.7

High$817

Low-$154

Close$660

Open positions6

USD balance$0

12$126

Jun 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$126

Open$660

High$859

Low$590

Close$786

Open positions6

USD balance$1.1K

13$124

Jun 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$124

Open$786

High$993

Low$775

Close$909

Open positions5

USD balance$0

14$261

Jun 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$261

Open$909

High$1.18K

Low$759

Close$1.17K

Open positions5

USD balance$3K

15$56.1

Jun 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$56.1

Open$1.17K

High$1.23K

Low$1.16K

Close$1.23K

Open positions5

USD balance$2.12K

16$45.2

Jun 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$45.2

Open$1.23K

High$1.27K

Low$1.22K

Close$1.27K

Open positions6

USD balance$2.95K

17$10.7

Jun 17, 2026

Daily PnL

$10.7

Open$1.27K

High$1.28K

Low$1.26K

Close$1.28K

Open positions2

USD balance$5.76K

18$0.51

Jun 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.51

Open$1.28K

High$1.28K

Low$1.28K

Close$1.28K

Open positions1

USD balance$6.26K

19$2.17

Jun 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.17

Open$1.28K

High$1.29K

Low$1.26K

Close$1.29K

Open positions2

USD balance$5.86K

20$10.7

Jun 20, 2026

Daily PnL

$10.7

Open$1.29K

High$1.3K

Low$1.24K

Close$1.3K

Open positions2

USD balance$5.63K

21$13.2

Jun 21, 2026

Daily PnL

$13.2

Open$1.3K

High$1.31K

Low$1.27K

Close$1.31K

Open positions1

USD balance$0

22-$12.8

Jun 22, 2026

Daily PnL

-$12.8

Open$1.31K

High$1.32K

Low$1.29K

Close$1.3K

Open positions2

USD balance$5.5K

23-$97.3

Jun 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$97.3

Open$1.3K

High$1.32K

Low$1.1K

Close$1.2K

Open positions2

USD balance$3.31K

24$207

Jun 24, 2026

Daily PnL

$207

Open$1.2K

High$1.42K

Low$828

Close$1.41K

Open positions2

USD balance$2.61K

25-$322

Jun 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$322

Open$1.41K

High$1.47K

Low$940

Close$1.08K

Open positions2

USD balance$1.42K

26$453

Jun 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$453

Open$1.08K

High$1.54K

Low$988

Close$1.54K

Open positions2

USD balance$6.15K

27$25

Jun 27, 2026

Daily PnL

$25

Open$1.54K

High$1.56K

Low$1.43K

Close$1.56K

Open positions1

USD balance$6.64K

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $23.27D $24930D $1.31K

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

90.4%

Profit Factor

2.30x

Avg Win

$44.5

Avg Loss

-$182

Total Wins

$2.09K

Total Losses

-$909

Avg. Hold Time

17d 9h 47m 7s

Best Win

$959

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Worst Loss

-$486

Iran Strike on Israel by December 31?

Period

Best Period

$1.33K, Jun 10 – Jun 16

Worst Period

-$998, Feb 22 – Feb 28

Longest Streak

11d W / 5d L

Current Streak

2d W

Max Drawdown

-$1.01K (-330.9%)

Current DD

$0 (0.0%)

Max Runup

$2.27K (322.4%)

Rebates

$110(13)

Rewards

$61.4(21)

Yield

$0.53(6)

eldestboy

Analytics

Analytics

eldestboy

eldestboy

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

eldestboy

Trader DNA

Trader DNA