| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? YesPolitics 726.97 shares | 90.5¢ / 90.0¢ | -$3.72 (-0.6%) | $658 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:53 PM | |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin… YesPolitics 36,693.87 shares | 89.2¢ / 73.0¢ | -$5.95K (-18.2%) | $32.6K · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:53 PM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? NoPolitics 1,602.83 shares | 45.3¢ / 75.0¢ | $476 (65.6%) | $726 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:53 PM | |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? YesFinance 1,400.39 shares | 62.6¢ / 73.0¢ | $145 (16.6%) | $863 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:50 PM | |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? YesFinance 2,350.75 shares | 46.5¢ / 70.0¢ | $553 (50.6%) | $1.06K · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:50 PM | |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31? NoPolitics 999.99 shares | 68.0¢ / 91.4¢ | $234 (34.4%) | $680 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:48 PM | |
 Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference? YesMentions 1,150.01 shares | 31.9¢ / 35.0¢ | $36.2 (9.9%) | $357 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:47 PM | |
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-Ju… YesPolitics 11,432.00 shares | 2.6¢ / 10.1¢ | $858 (290.6%) | $295 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:45 PM | |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? NoPolitics 108.63 shares | 71.3¢ / 99.8¢ | $30.9 (39.9%) | $77.5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:44 PM | |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? NoTech 221.44 shares | 98.9¢ / 99.9¢ | $30.9 (0.7%) | $4.56K · 2 | $4.37K · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:42 PM | |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 30, 2026? NoTech 3,877.60 shares | 97.8¢ / 98.3¢ | $21.2 (0.6%) | $3.79K · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:42 PM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? YesPolitics 2,567.39 shares | 22.1¢ / 13.0¢ | -$234 (-41.3%) | $568 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:39 PM | |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? NoPolitics 3,000.00 shares | 90.2¢ / 94.3¢ | $123 (4.5%) | $2.71K · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:38 PM | |
 Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference? YesMentions 92.40 shares | 77.7¢ / 78.0¢ | $0.27 (0.4%) | $71.1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:36 PM | |
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? NoPolitics 194.98 shares | 92.9¢ / 96.0¢ | $6.01 (3.3%) | $181 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:28 PM | |
Will Warsh say "Progress" during July Press Conference? YesMentions 304.50 shares | 63.9¢ / 62.1¢ | -$5.68 (-2.9%) | $192 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 3:18 PM | |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? NoPolitics 7,936.68 shares | 93.9¢ / 97.1¢ | $167 (1.4%) | $12.1K · 5 | $4.61K · 5 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:47 PM | |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? YesPolitics 4,604.22 shares | 31.0¢ / 38.5¢ | $347 (24.4%) | $1.39K · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:32 PM | |
 Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 1,206.10 shares | 88.1¢ / 97.0¢ | $127 (9.1%) | $1.39K · 1 | $345 · 2 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 2:07 PM | |
 Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? NoTech 414.96 shares | 63.9¢ / 86.5¢ | $93.8 (35.4%) | $261 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:20 PM | |
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? YesPolitics 2,000.00 shares | 10.0¢ / 5.3¢ | -$93.8 (-47.0%) | $200 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 1:05 PM | |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? YesPolitics 3,000.08 shares | 56.0¢ / 13.0¢ | -$1.29K (-76.8%) | $1.68K · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 11:29 AM | |
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Ex… NoTech 173.50 shares | 68.9¢ / 82.0¢ | $22.7 (19.0%) | $118 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:53 AM | |
77.5¢ / 79.4¢ | $1.84 (2.4%) | $76.7 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:52 AM | ||
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? YesCulture 335.32 shares | 71.9¢ / 99.0¢ | $84.4 (16.7%) | $495 · 1 | $195 · 1 | $62.1 | Jul 29, 2026 9:26 AM |
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