Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
ActiveVolume
$163K
Txns
4,208
Traders
620
Fees
$199
Liquidity
$3,309
Volume
$163K
Txns
4,208
Traders
620
Fees
$199
Liquidity
$3,309
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7m | Writeoff | No / 40.0¢ | -6.23 | $2.49 | |
| 7m | 7313 | Yes / 59.0¢ | -6.23 | $3.68 | |
| 2h | 0x952113b09BCc9B00678118Fa336569781E158FB6-1769014377956 | Yes / 58.5¢ | +10.26 | $6.1 | |
| 2h | 7313 | Yes / 59.0¢ | -4.75 | $2.8 | |
| 2h | DeepDitch | Yes / 58.0¢ | -5.51 | $3.2 | |
| 2h | Chegildek | Yes / 58.0¢ | +10.00 | $5.8 | |
| 2h | DeepDitch | Yes / 57.0¢ | -10.00 | $5.7 | |
| 2h | Chegildek | Yes / 58.0¢ | +7.37 | $4.35 | |
| 2h | 7313 | Yes / 58.0¢ | -7.37 | $4.27 | |
| 3h | 0xC9aF414fC65a46dEb62AF26F75799bFAF53F91e5-1779763576505 | No / 42.0¢ | -5.00 | $2.1 | |
| 3h | Baxalay | Yes / 62.0¢ | +27.49 | $17 | |
| 3h | 7313 | No / 37.0¢ | -11.68 | $4.32 | |
| 3h | Flnx | No / 43.0¢ | -52.66 | $22.6 | |
| 3h | tre-polysights | Yes / 59.6¢ | -256.13 | $153 | |
| 3h | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | No / 38.0¢ | -14.00 | $5.32 | |
| 3h | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | No / 41.0¢ | -13.00 | $5.33 | |
| 3h | 7313 | No / 39.0¢ | -11.68 | $4.56 | |
| 3h | DeepDitch | Yes / 58.0¢ | +15.51 | $9 | |
| 3h | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | No / 42.0¢ | -5.02 | $2.11 | |
| 3h | PPMT | No / 37.0¢ | -59.91 | $22.2 | |
| 3h | 7313 | No / 38.0¢ | -15.59 | $5.92 | |
| 3h | 7313 | Yes / 61.0¢ | +24.59 | $15 | |
| 4h | 0x0668436CF4E7ae990B96e244e58701AaA65dA2FF-1779959783334 | No / 35.1¢ | -5.30 | $1.86 | |
| 4h | PPMT | Yes / 64.0¢ | -5.30 | $3.39 | |
| 4h | PPMT | Yes / 64.0¢ | -5.45 | $3.49 |
1–25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 59%$332Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
Yes 100%$128Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.22Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
Yes 100%$77.8Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 89%$1.86Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30?
Yes 100%$31.3Kvolume