| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No 700.46 net shares | 95.1¢ / 97.3¢ | $10.9 (2.3%) | Jun 5, 2026 1:52 AM | |
 October 31 No 400.00 net shares | 80.0¢ / 79.0¢ | -$2 (-1.3%) | Jun 4, 2026 7:10 PM | |
December 31 No 800.00 net shares | 66.0¢ / 66.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | Jun 4, 2026 6:34 PM | |
 June 30, 2026 No 2,030.50 net shares | 90.3¢ / 98.8¢ | $222 (9.4%) | Jun 1, 2026 6:44 PM | |
 December 31 No 260.00 net shares | 80.4¢ / 84.0¢ | $4.67 (4.5%) | May 31, 2026 1:13 PM | |
 Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No 423.09 net shares | 79.4¢ / 85.0¢ | $15.6 (7.1%) | May 31, 2026 5:28 AM | |
December 31, 2026 No 2,042.27 net shares | 86.3¢ / 89.1¢ | $56 (3.2%) | May 27, 2026 11:06 AM | |
 Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No 55.00 net shares | 81.2¢ / 92.0¢ | $5.41 (13.3%) | May 26, 2026 3:17 AM | |
 December 31 No 186.73 net shares | 73.0¢ / 81.0¢ | $6.13 (11.0%) | May 25, 2026 10:09 AM | |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No 1,400.59 net shares | 85.6¢ / 88.0¢ | $35.6 (2.8%) | May 25, 2026 7:36 AM | |
 June 30, 2026 No 560.11 net shares | 87.3¢ / 97.1¢ | $55.9 (11.2%) | May 24, 2026 6:44 PM | |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 2,799.99 net shares | 82.1¢ / 91.0¢ | $187 (10.8%) | May 24, 2026 12:44 AM | |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No 364.05 net shares | 94.1¢ / 97.0¢ | $7.61 (3.1%) | May 23, 2026 11:05 PM | |
 June 30, 2026 No 72.77 net shares | 93.6¢ / 99.8¢ | $0 (6.6%) | May 23, 2026 8:57 AM | |
 September 30 No 599.99 net shares | 90.7¢ / 94.0¢ | $10 (3.7%) | May 23, 2026 2:23 AM | |
December 31, 2026 No 495.52 net shares | 73.1¢ / 88.0¢ | $88.5 (20.5%) | May 22, 2026 6:31 PM | |
September 30 No 257.54 net shares | 86.1¢ / 88.0¢ | $3.86 (2.2%) | May 22, 2026 8:11 AM | |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No 177.04 net shares | 81.0¢ / 86.0¢ | $4.83 (6.2%) | May 8, 2026 8:13 PM | |
 December 31 No -100.00 net shares | 79.8¢ / 84.0¢ | $4.2 (5.3%) | May 5, 2026 11:39 PM | |
 No meeting before 2027 Yes 410.86 net shares | 83.8¢ / 81.2¢ | -$6.58 (-3.1%) | May 5, 2026 2:18 PM | |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No 110.78 net shares | 86.0¢ / 85.0¢ | -$0.55 (-1.2%) | May 4, 2026 6:43 PM | |
 Kurds declare independence from Iran? No -143.32 net shares | 74.3¢ / 98.0¢ | $0 (31.9%) | Apr 24, 2026 4:55 PM | |
June 30 No -97.49 net shares | 89.0¢ / 99.2¢ | $10.2 (11.4%) | Apr 18, 2026 6:17 PM | |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? No -20.65 net shares | 79.7¢ / 90.0¢ | $0 (13.0%) | Apr 13, 2026 10:24 AM | |
 NATO article 5 before 2027? No 20.00 net shares | 83.0¢ / 90.0¢ | $8.4 (8.4%) | Apr 8, 2026 9:35 AM |
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