| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 120.20 net shares | 66.6¢ / 72.0¢ | $4.99 (8.2%) | Apr 15, 2026 4:30 PM | |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No 99.93 net shares | 60.0¢ / 71.0¢ | $7.14 (18.3%) | Apr 13, 2026 4:13 PM | |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? No 40.61 net shares | 49.3¢ / 69.0¢ | $8.02 (40.1%) | Mar 2, 2026 4:23 PM | |
 Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? No 33.90 net shares | 59.0¢ / 33.0¢ | -$8.81 (-44.1%) | Mar 2, 2026 4:18 PM | |
 May 15 No 64.52 net shares | 31.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$20 (-100.0%) | Mar 2, 2026 4:11 PM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 37.04 net shares | 54.0¢ / 96.0¢ | $15.6 (77.8%) | Mar 1, 2026 9:21 AM | |
 Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? Yes 60.61 net shares | 33.0¢ / 25.0¢ | -$4.85 (-24.2%) | Jan 31, 2026 4:40 PM | |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No 27.03 net shares | 74.0¢ / 95.0¢ | $5.68 (28.4%) | Jan 31, 2026 3:58 AM | |
 Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? Yes 65.81 net shares | 30.4¢ / 8.0¢ | -$14.7 (-73.7%) | Jan 28, 2026 1:46 PM | |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? Yes 40.82 net shares | 49.0¢ / 91.0¢ | $17.1 (85.7%) | Jan 22, 2026 1:48 PM | |
 Eric Adams charged by December 31? No 24.69 net shares | 81.0¢ / 78.0¢ | -$0.74 (-3.7%) | Jan 22, 2026 1:19 PM | |
 Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes 97.40 net shares | 20.5¢ / 35.0¢ | $14.1 (70.5%) | Jan 21, 2026 3:51 PM | |
 Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? No 24.63 net shares | 81.2¢ / 87.6¢ | $1.57 (7.9%) | Jan 21, 2026 3:48 PM | |
 Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? Yes 49.63 net shares | 40.3¢ / 67.0¢ | $13.3 (66.3%) | Jan 21, 2026 3:45 PM | |
 December 31 No 22.73 net shares | 88.0¢ / 92.2¢ | $0.95 (4.8%) | Jan 21, 2026 3:42 PM | |
 US congress stock trading ban before 2027? No 26.23 net shares | 76.2¢ / 87.0¢ | $2.82 (14.1%) | Jan 21, 2026 3:39 PM | |
 Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? No 31.25 net shares | 64.0¢ / 64.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | Jan 21, 2026 3:33 PM | |
 Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30? No 22.73 net shares | 88.0¢ / 90.7¢ | $0.61 (3.0%) | Jan 21, 2026 3:28 PM | |
 Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? No 42.55 net shares | 47.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$20 (-100.0%) | Jan 21, 2026 3:20 PM | |
 Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? No 30.15 net shares | 66.3¢ / 73.0¢ | $2.01 (10.0%) | Jan 21, 2026 3:13 PM | |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? No 21.74 net shares | 92.0¢ / 95.9¢ | $0.85 (4.2%) | Jan 20, 2026 2:59 PM | |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No 23.50 net shares | 85.1¢ / 91.0¢ | $1.38 (6.9%) | Jan 20, 2026 2:55 PM | |
 Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No 22.22 net shares | 90.0¢ / 86.0¢ | -$0.89 (-4.4%) | Jan 20, 2026 2:53 PM | |
 Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? No 22.47 net shares | 89.0¢ / 91.7¢ | $0.61 (3.0%) | Jan 20, 2026 2:48 PM | |
 Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? Yes 42.49 net shares | 47.1¢ / 45.0¢ | -$0.88 (-4.4%) | Jan 20, 2026 2:42 PM |
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