
Volume
$5K
Txns
221
Traders
70
Fees
$50
Liquidity
$8,107
Ends
Jul 19, 2026
On July 12, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 19, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2076351399999557669). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces a qualifying extension of access to "Claude Fable 5" beyond July 19, 2026, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying extension requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An extension covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify. The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 91%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 95%$0volume
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
No 98%$0volume
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 95%$0volume
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 99%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39m | triple-purple | Yes / 44.3¢ | -167.56 | $74.2 | |
| 39m | suraxy | Yes / 45.0¢ | +136.82 | $61.6 | |
| 39m | DeepDitch | No / 54.0¢ | -10.74 | $5.8 | |
| 39m | dropmeplease | Yes / 47.0¢ | +20.00 | $9.4 | |
| 54m | DeepDitch | No / 54.0¢ | -11.90 | $6.43 | |
| 54m | 0xB8768cfb49250bd924Cad59B7f2F78982bd60650-1783449089262 | Yes / 45.0¢ | -11.90 | $5.36 | |
| 1h | dropmeplease | No / 52.0¢ | +20.00 | $10.4 | |
| 1h | Phenium | No / 51.0¢ | +150.00 | $76.5 | |
| 1h | asakku | Yes / 48.9¢ | +170.00 | $84.8 | |
| 1h | Fartard | Yes / 47.0¢ | +19.99 | $9.59 | |
| 1h | dropmeplease | No / 53.0¢ | +19.99 | $10.6 | |
| 2h | zalozhen | No / 53.0¢ | +50.00 | $26.5 | |
| 2h | dropmeplease | No / 53.0¢ | +20.00 | $10.6 | |
| 2h | NoTeacher | Yes / 47.0¢ | +70.00 | $33.6 | |
| 2h | dropmeplease | No / 54.0¢ | +20.00 | $10.8 | |
| 2h | NoTeacher | Yes / 46.0¢ | +20.00 | $9.4 | |
| 2h | NoTeacher | Yes / 48.0¢ | +20.00 | $9.8 | |
| 2h | dropmeplease | No / 52.0¢ | +20.00 | $10.4 | |
| 2h | NoTeacher | Yes / 47.0¢ | +42.64 | $20.5 | |
| 2h | DeepDitch | No / 53.0¢ | +22.64 | $12 | |
| 2h | dropmeplease | No / 53.0¢ | +20.00 | $10.6 | |
| 2h | dropmeplease | No / 55.0¢ | +20.00 | $11 | |
| 2h | YuriNatsuki | No / 55.0¢ | +50.00 | $27.5 | |
| 2h | NoTeacher | Yes / 45.0¢ | +90.00 | $41.4 | |
| 2h | galhammerman | Yes / 45.0¢ | -20.00 | $9 |
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