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![]() U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? NoPolitics 233.71 shares | 12.7¢ / 34.1¢ | $50 (168.3%) | $29.6 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:24 AM | |
![]() Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? NoPolitics 6.29 shares | 28.6¢ / 96.0¢ | $22.9 (234.1%) | $9.19 · 1 | $26.6 · 11 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:22 AM | |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? NoPolitics 17.05 shares | 80.4¢ / 73.0¢ | -$41.6 (-34.6%) | $120 · 3 | $0 | $66.3 | Jul 31, 2026 1:15 AM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? NoPolitics 108.52 shares | 59.7¢ / 62.0¢ | $7.66 (7.0%) | $109 · 4 | $50 · 8 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:11 AM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? NoPolitics 68.79 shares | 77.8¢ / 81.0¢ | -$3.83 (-5.4%) | $70.1 · 2 | $0 | $10.9 | Jul 31, 2026 1:09 AM | |
![]() Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? NoPolitics 110.44 shares | 78.5¢ / 76.0¢ | -$9.39 (-4.9%) | $189 · 6 | $96.6 · 11 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:08 AM | |
![]() US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? YesPolitics 79.05 shares | 20.1¢ / 1.6¢ | -$14.6 (-92.0%) | $15.8 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 1:05 AM | |
![]() Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliame… YesPolitics 75.88 shares | 59.3¢ / 60.0¢ | $0.53 (1.2%) | $44.8 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 12:57 AM | |
![]() Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? NoPolitics 68.40 shares | 88.4¢ / 91.2¢ | $1.93 (3.2%) | $59.8 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 12:54 AM | |
![]() US strike on Cuba by December 31? NoPolitics 111.75 shares | 50.5¢ / 73.0¢ | $34.4 (34.3%) | $99.7 · 2 | $38.4 · 2 | $14.6 | Jul 31, 2026 12:45 AM | |
![]() Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026… NoPolitics 72.60 shares | 49.5¢ / 48.0¢ | -$1.08 (-3.0%) | $34.8 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 12:43 AM | |
![]() Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? YesPolitics 12.96 shares | 40.2¢ / 50.0¢ | $1.27 (24.4%) | $5.18 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 12:32 AM | |
![]() Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? YesPolitics 8.80 shares | 51.3¢ / 26.0¢ | -$2.51 (-15.4%) | $16.2 · 2 | $0 | $11.5 | Jul 31, 2026 12:29 AM | |
![]() Netanyahu out by end of 2026? NoPolitics 16.65 shares | 57.3¢ / 60.0¢ | -$2.72 (-5.4%) | $49.7 · 1 | $10.5 · 3 | $26.9 | Jul 31, 2026 12:23 AM | |
![]() Iran full airspace closure by August 31? NoPolitics 12.63 shares | 63.3¢ / 67.0¢ | $0.47 (5.8%) | $7.96 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 12:22 AM | |
![]() Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 202… YesPolitics 372.16 shares | 32.4¢ / 39.5¢ | $26.5 (22.0%) | $120 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 12:18 AM | |
![]() Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? YesPolitics 141.87 shares | 35.2¢ / 37.0¢ | $2.6 (5.2%) | $49.7 · 1 | $0.1 · 1 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 12:11 AM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? NoPolitics 81.64 shares | 44.3¢ / 99.7¢ | $119 (78.5%) | $150 · 7 | $180 · 28 | $8.16 | Jul 31, 2026 12:08 AM | |
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by Jul… YesPolitics 15.65 shares | 26.1¢ / 0.9¢ | -$3.95 (-96.6%) | $4.07 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 11:41 PM | |
![]() Israel closes its airspace by August 31? NoPolitics 79.60 shares | 75.4¢ / 75.0¢ | -$0.3 (-0.5%) | $59.7 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 11:40 PM | |
![]() Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? YesPolitics 51.15 shares | 28.9¢ / 0.8¢ | $3.54 (9.0%) | $38.2 · 2 | $0 | $42.6 | Jul 30, 2026 11:08 PM | |
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? YesPolitics 1.64 shares | 7.0¢ / 10.0¢ | $0.05 (42.2%) | $0.11 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 11:02 PM | |
![]() Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? NoPolitics 133.24 shares | 79.9¢ / 76.0¢ | -$5.14 (-4.8%) | $106 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 10:48 PM | |
![]() Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026… NoPolitics 133.77 shares | 51.0¢ / 70.0¢ | $25.4 (37.3%) | $67.8 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 10:46 PM | |
![]() Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? NoPolitics 140.53 shares | 60.1¢ / 76.0¢ | $22 (19.4%) | $113 · 3 | $29 · 4 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 10:44 PM |
1–25
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 28.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $264 (57.4%) | $460 · 13 | $662 · 17 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:35 AM | |
![]() Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? WonYesSports | 22.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $121 (196.8%) | $58.3 · 2 | $183 · 2 | $0 | Jul 10, 2026 12:46 AM | |
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 42.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $112 (32.7%) | $341 · 9 | $452 · 27 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:39 AM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 59.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $82.7 (68.1%) | $120 · 3 | $204 · 4 | $0 | Jun 20, 2026 6:10 AM | |
11.0¢ / 18.0¢ | $69.9 (85.8%) | $80.6 · 4 | $89.1 · 7 | $62.2 | Jul 12, 2026 5:22 PM | ||
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 20.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $45.9 (149.8%) | $30.5 · 3 | $0 | $76.5 | Jul 18, 2026 6:10 AM | |
![]() Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? WonYesPolitics | 71.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $40.2 (32.8%) | $121 · 4 | $163 · 5 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:33 PM | |
56.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $39.3 (78.6%) | $50 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 12:30 AM | ||
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? WonYesPolitics | 33.8¢ / 17.0¢ | $35.3 (28.5%) | $123 · 7 | $93 · 8 | $66.3 | Jul 30, 2026 8:11 PM | |
![]() Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31? WonYesPolitics | 56.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $35.2 (78.0%) | $44.9 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 12, 2026 2:16 AM | |
77.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $31.9 (29.9%) | $106 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:09 AM | ||
75.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $31.9 (32.2%) | $97.3 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 8:08 PM | ||
42.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $31.2 (68.0%) | $43.8 · 1 | $34.7 · 2 | $0 | Jul 4, 2026 12:36 AM | ||
![]() Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? WonNoPolitics | 76.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $31 (31.0%) | $100 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 7:21 AM | |
![]() Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? WonYesPolitics | 37.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $26.5 (21.7%) | $121 · 4 | $73.1 · 11 | $75.1 | Jul 1, 2026 6:15 AM | |
![]() Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31? WonYesPolitics | 49.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $23.4 (58.3%) | $39.8 · 1 | $15.1 · 2 | $0 | Jul 13, 2026 4:38 PM | |
![]() Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? WonNoPolitics | 11.1¢ / 13.0¢ | $21.7 (352.3%) | $6.12 · 1 | $0 | $27.8 | Jul 31, 2026 1:20 AM | |
![]() Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? WonNoPolitics | 69.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $19.9 (44.2%) | $44.8 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 4, 2026 1:12 PM | |
![]() US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 58.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $19.6 (70.4%) | $27.7 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 11, 2026 6:05 AM | |
26.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $19.4 (76.2%) | $25.4 · 2 | $3.13 · 1 | $41.7 | Jun 15, 2026 2:24 AM | ||
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? WonNoPolitics | 64.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $19 (18.8%) | $101 · 2 | $0 | $35.7 | Jul 30, 2026 2:45 AM | |
![]() Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal? WonYesPolitics | 64.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $18.4 (18.4%) | $100 · 2 | $118 · 12 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:34 AM | |
65.7¢ / 86.0¢ | $17.1 (29.3%) | $56.3 · 2 | $75.3 · 7 | $0 | Jul 4, 2026 10:00 AM | ||
![]() Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? WonYesPolitics | 53.4¢ / 65.0¢ | $15.6 (21.2%) | $72.6 · 4 | $88.9 · 8 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 5:54 AM | |
82.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $11 (11.0%) | $100 · 2 | $111 · 4 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 12:34 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
109
Won
41
Lost
27
Win Rate
60.3%
Profit Factor
1.55x
Avg Win
$23.7
Avg Loss
-$23.2
Total Wins
$973
Total Losses
-$627
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
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Max Drawdown
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Yield